Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe138b27617d3aa9cbe730dab265f80ae1562742a51b9567c48d12fa4e9de2359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 17c | 1,782$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked No | 64c | 413$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 37c | 386.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 384.64$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 36c | 359.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Yes | 17c | 180.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 65.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 64c | 61.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 58.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 63c | 26.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 62c | 25.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 23.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…af4cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.