TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9766…a41d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$842.25
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.76
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.2
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.02
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.72
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$772.17
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-62.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.43
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+218.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+233.6%+$1,418.04
Chiefs vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$62.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.38
Will Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+195.2%+$50.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Zoziya Kardavabacked Zoziya Kardava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+102%+$58.45
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Juliana Giaccio vs Charo Esquiva Banulsbacked Charo Esquiva Banuls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$89.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$46.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$660.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Trinbago Knight Ridersbacked Trinbago Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.