NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ab2df9faee704e976f5a4fa473d7cfb7556375b5b368bc7f4d3adfe3d668c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Chiefs, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chiefs | 56c | 20,505$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.6 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Chiefs | 46c | 10,303$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chiefs | 41c | 7,526$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.5 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Buccaneers | 51c | 6,650$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.61 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chiefs | 42c | 5,997$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.46 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Buccaneers | 55c | 4,575$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Buccaneers | 57c | 4,362$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.19 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Buccaneers | 55c | 3,995$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.39 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chiefs | 0c | 3,394$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Chiefs | 15c | 3,007$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Buccaneers | 64c | 2,829$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.34 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chiefs | 34c | 2,801$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.89 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Buccaneers | 54c | 2,401$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.79 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chiefs | 45c | 2,222$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.79 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chiefs | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Buccaneers | 46c | 1,957$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Buccaneers | 50c | 1,905$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chiefs | 61c | 1,750$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.36 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Chiefs | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.01 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Buccaneers | 56c | 1,526$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c817backed Buccaneers | 53c | 1,524$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Chiefs | 54c | 1,053$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.64 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Buccaneers | 57c | 939.11$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.21 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chiefs | 31c | 878.73$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.85 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Buccaneers | 51c | 875$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chiefs | 34c | 862.03$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chiefs | 36c | 785$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Chiefs | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Chiefs | 35c | 649.62$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chiefs | 73c | 602.83$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.55 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Buccaneers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Buccaneers | 60c | 578$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Buccaneers | 64c | 506.75$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Buccaneers | 52c | 493.45$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Buccaneers | 53c | 474.28$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Buccaneers | 45c | 448.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.11 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Buccaneers | 37c | 440.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Chiefs | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Buccaneers | 66c | 434.64$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Chiefs | 20c | 432.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Chiefs | 24c | 424.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Buccaneers | 68c | 407.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…4b4bbacked Chiefs | 75c | 392.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Buccaneers | 64c | 382.11$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Chiefs | 49c | 353.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chiefs | 33c | 338.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Chiefs | 24c | 327.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Buccaneers | 57c | 321.75$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Buccaneers | 43c | 316.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Chiefs | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Chiefs | 63c | 279.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Chiefs | 33c | 248.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Buccaneers | 46c | 234.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Chiefs | 55c | 229.62$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Chiefs | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Buccaneers | 44c | 226.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Chiefs | 42c | 220.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Chiefs | 24c | 205.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Chiefs | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…d999backed Chiefs | 77c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Buccaneers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Chiefs | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chiefs | 36c | 192$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Chiefs | 39c | 189.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Chiefs | 45c | 169$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Chiefs | 33c | 153.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Chiefs | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Chiefs | 24c | 147.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Chiefs | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Chiefs | 44c | 137.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Buccaneers | 65c | 135.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…345fbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 133.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Buccaneers | 67c | 126.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Chiefs | 40c | 121.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Chiefs | 32c | 114.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…f398backed Buccaneers | 51c | 102.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Buccaneers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…850cbacked Chiefs | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Chiefs | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Buccaneers | 33c | 92.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Chiefs | 33c | 89.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Chiefs | 48c | 87.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Buccaneers | 64c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chiefs | 36c | 73.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Chiefs | 39c | 69.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…e386backed Chiefs | 55c | 66.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Buccaneers | 45c | 61.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…8c5ebacked Chiefs | 25c | 61.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chiefs | 73c | 60.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Chiefs | 47c | 59.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chiefs | 43c | 58.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Chiefs | 41c | 54.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Chiefs | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Buccaneers | 33c | 54.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Buccaneers | 33c | 52.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Buccaneers | 52c | 52.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Buccaneers | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Chiefs | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Chiefs | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Buccaneers | 66c | 48.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Buccaneersthis page
- KC vs. TB: O/U 36.5Under won
- KC vs. TB: O/U 37.5Under won
- Spread: KC (-1.5)TB won
- Spread: KC (-2.5)TB won
- Spread: KC (-3.5)TB won
- Spread: TB (-2.5)KC won
- Spread: TB (-3.5)KC won
- Spread: TB (-4.5)KC won
- Spread: TB (-5.5)KC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.