TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf96b…9c4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 205 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.02
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.94
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+167.8%+$38
Will a Goal be Scored During 106-120 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.11
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.33
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.23
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$75.14
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.96
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.42
England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Cornerbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.79
Michael Olise: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$55
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.17
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.05
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Harry Kane: 5+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.19
Noni Madueke: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.11
Norway vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$75.59
Youri Tielemans: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$28.61
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$93.87
Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.44
Showing 25 of 205 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.46
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$74.99
FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to Advancebacked FK Auda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$42.02
ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.22
Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-1.5)backed NK Bravo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.27
FC Malisheva to score first vs. Hibernian FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
FCSB vs. FK Auda: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.65
UMF Stjarnan vs. Víkingur: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.59
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.47
Spread: Bohemian FC (-1.5)backed Bohemian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.81
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.85
Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.78
Chiefs vs. Buccaneersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+179.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mirassol FC to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+240.8%+$117.41
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Bochum to score first vs. Hertha BSC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$50.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.