Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b364fb56bcd0536056ea5f8eebae8934f8fbeaea71c1b4e26eac8b07d8f143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed Over | 36c | 1,459$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 61c | 736.02$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 690.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…3848backed Under | 79c | 412.15$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 33c | 374.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Over | 32c | 356.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 37c | 229.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…a251backed Under | 72c | 138.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 216 | 54.6%118 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 64c | 128.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…74c0backed Under | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 63c | 119.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Over | 38c | 112.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…bf6bbacked Under | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 94.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 22c | 87.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 28c | 81.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 71.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…ef00backed Under | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…d76cbacked Under | 67c | 65.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 74c | 60.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 36c | 59.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 62c | 52.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…c7dcbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 33c | 42.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over | 27c | 41.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…2ac5backed Under | 63c | 40.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Over | 39c | 35.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -16.1wins | -0.46per pick | 52cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 20-0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 60c | 33.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 37c | 32.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 64c | 27.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 52c | 27.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…3857backed Under | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Under | 60c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…6413backed Under | 71c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…71ebbacked Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3987backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…da53backed Over | 52c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 65c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First CornerArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.