TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5947…c7dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$91.24
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.88
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$801
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.5
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$31.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$93.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.9
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$15.08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$10.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$353.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+221.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.79
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.