TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Resilienceof Xtreme Gaming, Team Resilience
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$757,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$861,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming68c89,971$61,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,301.751,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Resilience34c50,000$16,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,009.2947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Resilience30c33,333$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,333.0715951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Resilience29c16,996$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,090.9271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Xtreme Gaming20c16,444$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.2925446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Team Resilience80c13,968$11,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.73275%24 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Xtreme Gaming59c13,599$7,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,989.6793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Xtreme Gaming25c13,000$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,188.852634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Xtreme Gaming78c12,153$9,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,479.119733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Resilience58c10,479$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.0930667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Resilience52c10,000$5,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.2180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed Team Resilience31c8,383$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.047439.2%29 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Xtreme Gaming6c8,137$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.4829352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Xtreme Gaming68c8,017$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.6139343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Resilience22c7,464$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,822.0112259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Resilience61c6,982$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.8651049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Resilience62c6,978$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.8528251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Resilience31c6,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.9730452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Xtreme Gaming70c5,731$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.7730357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Xtreme Gaming64c5,209$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.3419456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d9…d698backed Xtreme Gaming75c5,091$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Xtreme Gaming70c5,022$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Xtreme Gaming53c4,721$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.5750850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Resilience35c4,621$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.5216641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7993…cf5abacked Xtreme Gaming66c4,511$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.762962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Resilience40c4,356$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.521,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Xtreme Gaming38c4,200$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.983246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Resilience38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.9816746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Resilience31c3,932$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.0620156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a5…db43backed Team Resilience56c3,874$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.747452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Resilience55c3,755$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.3850353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience31c3,554$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.7989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Xtreme Gaming68c3,407$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.9718351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Xtreme Gaming66c3,345$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.816553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Xtreme Gaming53c3,332$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.3579341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience22c3,328$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.4988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Xtreme Gaming78c3,313$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.2959254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Xtreme Gaming62c3,297$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0309852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Team Resilience52c3,295$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.0412141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Resilience32c3,281$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.9631248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Resilience22c3,250$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.9881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Resilience62c3,224$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.0123561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Team Resilience28c3,214$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.9414646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Xtreme Gaming65c3,021$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.7825752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Team Resilience80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Resilience25c2,952$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.1336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Xtreme Gaming59c2,940$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1619853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c6…b937backed Team Resilience24c2,898$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.482560%15 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Xtreme Gaming42c2,877$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20047650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b4…4e24backed Team Resilience55c2,775$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.186764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Resilience62c2,678$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.8812858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Xtreme Gaming70c2,664$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.1218950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x495c…c9eabacked Team Resilience22c2,600$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Xtreme Gaming65c2,576$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.297770.1%54 W · 23 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f6a…599abacked Team Resilience51c2,567$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.19061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabc3…f82dbacked Team Resilience69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.145373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Team Resilience40c2,478$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.8824255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Resilience30c2,400$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9928044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed Xtreme Gaming68c2,350$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.9711045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed Team Resilience76c2,343$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.784562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed Team Resilience77c2,334$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.488648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Xtreme Gaming21c2,294$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4532549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Xtreme Gaming15c2,220$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.917444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Xtreme Gaming64c2,185$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming67c1,889$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.142,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked Xtreme Gaming41c1,874$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76616959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Team Resilience19c1,830$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.8920233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Xtreme Gaming37c1,829$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5622031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Resilience47c1,800$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.6492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Resilience57c1,761$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.397955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Resilience28c1,748$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.3277941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Team Resilience22c1,692$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.16726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Resilience64c1,675$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.4218660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Resilience54c1,648$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.9661456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Xtreme Gaming68c1,606$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.78862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Xtreme Gaming47c1,598$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.6615337.3%57 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Resilience52c1,574$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.2289238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming53c1,550$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.1780443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Team Resilience25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9929546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Resilience35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9769835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed Xtreme Gaming18c1,380$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.433943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience80c1,336$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.212263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Resilience75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3322853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d02…0ff3backed Team Resilience64c1,332$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.427970.9%56 W · 23 L+11.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience42c1,311$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.3756343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Xtreme Gaming74c1,289$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5771342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Xtreme Gaming74c1,250$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9927060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed Team Resilience46c1,184$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.363641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Resilience55c1,149$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0725143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Xtreme Gaming59c1,105$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.5415051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Xtreme Gaming75c1,069$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.464065%26 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Team Resilience26c1,062$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.116341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2776…4ecbbacked Xtreme Gaming73c1,058$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.017262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Resilience66c1,051$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7389938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Team Resilience25c1,048$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.447839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Xtreme Gaming74c1,016$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.715050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66045457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Xtreme Gaming20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Resilience31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908450%42 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Resilience62c1,000$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6633453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.