Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9274b93077704caf6d5a3575d5fe562c1f133927cdc60be403fb6da5ffc97711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 44,082$31,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,229.68 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Resilience | 26c | 25,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience | 28c | 17,438$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,816.63 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Resilience | 21c | 15,883$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.43 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 14,500$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Resilience | 31c | 11,661$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.7 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Resilience | 29c | 10,123$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.37 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 8,577$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.01 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Resilience | 32c | 5,299$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 5,152$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.18 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 4,137$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.04 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Resilience | 10c | 3,254$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 2,788$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.86 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Resilience | 32c | 2,775$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.53 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 2,772$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.66 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 2,513$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.22 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 2,100$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.2 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Resilience | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,986$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.04 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,939$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Resilience | 29c | 1,820$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.8 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,597$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.94 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Resilience | 31c | 1,590$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Resilience | 10c | 1,577$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Resilience | 32c | 1,533$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.56 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 27c | 1,458$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.63 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Resilience | 35c | 1,421$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,407$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.5 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,152$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.01 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…eff4backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 1,057$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Team Resilience | 28c | 1,029$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.04 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a23…3253backed Team Resilience | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Resilience | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Team Resilience | 28c | 999.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Resilience | 30c | 992.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 988.69$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Team Resilience | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Resilience | 6c | 904.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Resilience | 6c | 850.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 805.07$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.47 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Resilience | 27c | 740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Team Resilience | 27c | 728.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Team Resilience | 25c | 708.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Resilience | 32c | 700$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 699.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Team Resilience | 26c | 699.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 606.43$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 599.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 559$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Team Resilience | 33c | 555$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience | 22c | 518.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Team Resilience | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Team Resilience | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Team Resilience | 34c | 499.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 491.28$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 456.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Resilience | 33c | 452.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Resilience | 31c | 449.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 444.97$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 426$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Resilience | 33c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 395.67$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 394.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Resilience | 20c | 356.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 345.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Team Resilience | 32c | 344$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Team Resilience | 30c | 343.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Team Resilience | 26c | 315.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Resilience | 30c | 312.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 305.78$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 33c | 301.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…7937backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Resilience | 30c | 264.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Team Resilience | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 251.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Resilience | 31c | 245.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 245.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Resilience | 11c | 244.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Team Resilience | 35c | 242.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Resilience | 24c | 242.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 237.32$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…1a4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Team Resilience | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Team Resilience | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Team Resilience | 31c | 192.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 190.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Team Resilience | 27c | 186.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 180$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Resilience | 26c | 161.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Team Resilience | 33c | 160.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 160$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 150.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
- Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.