TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32ee…83b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
307
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT15742%66 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.86
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$233.82
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$242
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.66
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.32
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$131.53
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$307.83
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$95.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$144.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$48.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.3
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.66
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.34
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.54
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.03
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+171.8%+$210.74
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$92.17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$150.74
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.01
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$205.54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.59
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$316.53
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$74
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$103.73
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.43
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.05
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$134.23
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$198.97
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.05
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.82
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.76
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.01
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.31
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$77.02
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$356.01
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.52
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$9.67
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+46%+$4.6
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$32.63
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.32
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.07
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.53
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.02
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$48.49
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Plovdiv 2: Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
National Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crossbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Yanaki Milev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Hagen: Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Isaac Becroftbacked Sam Ryan Ziegann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
National Bank Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Ana Gruborbacked Ana Grubor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
National Bank Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadian Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chanbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$48.61
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$57.67
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$7.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-85.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: DOCISK vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 2 Winnerbacked DOCISK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.29
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+52.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.