Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b84a8e08cb3376c9e5be5cc5a37f7073de05cdf0810d2ad3fe745c4760ef3e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,513,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,962,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,513,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 9,058 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,743,953$1,333,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410,857.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 76c | 1,430,646$1,089,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341,238.79 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 77c | 1,428,932$1,106,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322,170.79 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…7e2ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,088,695$279,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279,623.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 656,094$104,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,347.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901a…3445backed Yes | 26c | 469,305$119,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,883.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 22c | 404,432$89,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,486.42 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked No | 74c | 328,210$243,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,821.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 75c | 318,006$238,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,427.52 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 261,512$199,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,338.21 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…2a47backed Yes | 24c | 246,363$58,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,511.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 1c | 243,836$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 23c | 239,999$54,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,649.86 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 75c | 225,307$169,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,545.22 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…eba8backed Yes | 0c | 200,556$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…21a0backed Yes | 23c | 200,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…7b7bbacked Yes | 25c | 189,404$47,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,350.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 168,669$38,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,960.47 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 168,188$128,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,076.73 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 164,614$125,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,269.03 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 161,366$24,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,770.4 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 25c | 157,246$38,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,581.37 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 76c | 154,900$117,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,438.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 23c | 150,179$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 148,567$113,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,433.97 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 16c | 133,855$21,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,707.18 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 23c | 128,819$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 15c | 126,977$19,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,551.95 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…696fbacked Yes | 0c | 115,644$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 111,800$83,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,389.65 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 23c | 108,986$25,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,530.25 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 2c | 108,187$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.69 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked No | 75c | 100,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 95,365$71,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,635.95 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 74c | 92,585$68,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,804.72 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 86,900$15,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,463.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…e779backed Yes | 23c | 82,666$19,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,334.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 76c | 80,657$61,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,155.92 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 74c | 80,404$59,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,801.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Yes | 26c | 80,016$20,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,404.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 78c | 76,191$59,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,964.78 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…8527backed Yes | 0c | 74,752$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 66,666$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.83 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 77c | 63,278$48,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,377.79 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…7e1cbacked Yes | 1c | 62,365$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…f318backed Yes | 1c | 62,156$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…aa1cbacked Yes | 0c | 61,564$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…4503backed Yes | 0c | 56,292$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked No | 74c | 55,010$40,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,068.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 74c | 52,315$38,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,826.3 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe18…3be4backed Yes | 25c | 52,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 45c | 50,558$22,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,537.55 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…cf37backed Yes | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 24c | 50,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,749.91 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 24c | 48,312$11,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,663.52 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 43c | 46,308$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked No | 75c | 46,230$34,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,557.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…2b59backed Yes | 44c | 45,604$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Yes | 25c | 45,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 75c | 44,998$33,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.57 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 74c | 44,876$33,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,679.63 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…ff4dbacked Yes | 3c | 44,495$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…e704backed Yes | 22c | 44,463$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed No | 76c | 43,126$32,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,327.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Yes | 23c | 42,893$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.88 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed No | 76c | 42,365$32,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,051.03 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…0832backed Yes | 25c | 42,209$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 76c | 41,995$32,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,980.01 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…5149backed Yes | 1c | 41,669$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.87 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…4a31backed Yes | 43c | 41,380$17,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,613.84 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…855dbacked Yes | 25c | 41,195$10,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,175.15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 76c | 40,346$30,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,654.23 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6901…cdb3backed Yes | 24c | 40,301$9,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,739.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 25c | 40,231$9,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,957.13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca3…9a08backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…602cbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…26babacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 75c | 39,985$30,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,946.32 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d4…bb8dbacked Yes | 23c | 39,666$9,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,123.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 23c | 39,090$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.79 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…7291backed Yes | 1c | 39,012$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 76c | 38,999$29,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,266.44 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Yes | 24c | 38,000$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,259.58 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…6c20backed Yes | 0c | 37,756$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 75c | 37,437$27,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,546.25 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 37,344$9,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,221.8 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…aed6backed Yes | 22c | 36,782$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Yes | 16c | 36,596$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes | 24c | 36,241$8,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,607.25 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 77c | 35,133$26,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,224.54 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 76c | 34,681$26,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.24 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Yes | 24c | 33,563$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,112.16 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 8c | 33,359$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.25 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…8450backed Yes | 34c | 33,046$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…fed9backed Yes | 0c | 32,804$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…a7b0backed Yes | 0c | 32,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed Yes | 24c | 31,963$7,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,591.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…d059backed Yes | 8c | 30,000$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 76c | 29,999$22,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.85 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.