TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f90…21fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65,423Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$37,371.31
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$11,159.98
Spread: England (-4.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$3,777.69
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$7,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,129.56
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$17,942.1
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,026.2
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36,783Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$40,217.35
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20,925Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$10,075
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89,946.67
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,252.98
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40,942Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$14,068.31
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,303.96
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70,577Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$25,180.75
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70,410
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,966Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$2,045.45
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$10,400
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$21,010.5
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8,022.29
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,065
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50,002.45
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$6,730.3
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24,820Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$9,180
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,043.83
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,172.93
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20,300
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,071Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$2,132
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,060
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$375.39
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,832.63
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,104.83
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,192.33
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+177.5%+$128.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,141.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,430
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.