TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof 1win, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$895,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,011,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team55c88,153$48,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,094.451,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 1win44c76,787$34,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,066.4812259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed BetBoom Team55c50,000$27,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,50047646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed 1win46c49,953$22,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,978.385236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed BetBoom Team64c34,766$22,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,468.4421155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed 1win40c27,111$10,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,780.912348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed 1win39c25,575$9,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,974.2216147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked 1win43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked 1win43c19,900$8,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,556.9810540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team60c19,605$11,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,766.721,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked 1win36c15,000$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,449.9924246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed BetBoom Team55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.9830452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56a6…e5aebacked 1win45c13,144$5,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,976.933164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+58.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 1win44c12,386$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.1571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BetBoom Team58c12,153$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,067.8180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked BetBoom Team52c12,130$6,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,792.8150347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed BetBoom Team60c10,939$6,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,422.8330667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 1win40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00013960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked 1win46c9,114$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed BetBoom Team56c8,966$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.0916553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed BetBoom Team57c8,526$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.137255.6%40 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win35c8,420$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.831,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked BetBoom Team52c7,923$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.94445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked 1win47c7,869$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.7423435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked BetBoom Team57c7,148$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.4732548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked 1win37c6,872$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.3689741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed BetBoom Team55c6,060$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.6118950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed BetBoom Team52c6,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9920642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BetBoom Team32c5,997$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.625446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed BetBoom Team41c5,245$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.0433453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team55c5,237$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.5896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed 1win41c5,157$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.4141056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 1win45c5,111$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9525549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked BetBoom Team44c4,505$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.7732549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed 1win72c4,462$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.689852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win45c4,190$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.331,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed 1win42c4,076$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.5724255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team59c3,746$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.81,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked BetBoom Team63c3,668$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.5412858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed 1win9c3,504$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7118351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed BetBoom Team64c3,500$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.6237655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed 1win67c3,482$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3206440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win49c3,439$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.1450850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed BetBoom Team65c3,305$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.3953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked 1win42c3,285$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.741242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6cf…d3f0backed BetBoom Team50c3,051$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.6617449.4%86 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BetBoom Team59c3,007$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.8461456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked 1win13c3,000$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3939339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed BetBoom Team58c2,726$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.7418660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed 1win70c2,590$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.091020%2 W · 8 L-4.8wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-72.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed BetBoom Team57c2,566$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.5912350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team60c2,537$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.9656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed 1win46c2,375$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.418648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed 1win45c2,292$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.0426550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed 1win45c2,241$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.988757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked 1win39c2,222$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.574942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed 1win73c2,200$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6062955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked BetBoom Team59c2,105$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.0719853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed BetBoom Team62c2,097$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.863641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6729…f17dbacked 1win45c2,094$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked BetBoom Team53c2,070$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.831936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked 1win3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609057.8%52 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed 1win45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90018830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked 1win44c1,855$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.8512252.5%64 W · 58 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BetBoom Team59c1,853$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.239343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 1win19c1,809$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2465625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked BetBoom Team66c1,787$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.1712764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed 1win42c1,778$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.1860349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked 1win47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed 1win59c1,683$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.247548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team57c1,668$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.391,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team46c1,654$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.391,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed BetBoom Team61c1,598$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.6119251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed BetBoom Team65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.467955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team60c1,500$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.331,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team60c1,444$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.151,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 1win45c1,440$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.471,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed 1win37c1,435$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.813943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed BetBoom Team60c1,415$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.4128044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team70c1,400$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9979859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed BetBoom Team61c1,397$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed 1win75c1,380$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.2213943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked 1win45c1,337$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 1win45c1,327$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.9369132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed 1win75c1,300$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97550769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed BetBoom Team60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52036343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34f…6b2bbacked BetBoom Team60c1,290$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.93862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked BetBoom Team65c1,250$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.1728251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BetBoom Team49c1,201$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6289938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win41c1,191$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.761,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf796…de54backed BetBoom Team61c1,155$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.326651.5%34 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 1win39c1,117$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.9293546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team60c1,110$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44441351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked 1win46c1,100$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2837047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed BetBoom Team24c1,095$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.88420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed BetBoom Team55c1,093$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6629546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed BetBoom Team51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4329240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa5…05bbbacked 1win60c1,060$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.8313359.4%79 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked BetBoom Team59c1,019$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.8125246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed 1win41c1,017$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1420233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.