TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fa5…05bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13359.4%79 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.17
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.42
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.55
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.87
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.29
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$177.8
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$114.36
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$215.87
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.13
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$115.67
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$117.8
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607.36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56%+$459.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$388.98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$944.65
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$123.69
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$282.6
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$1,495.19
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.89
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$472.51
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,318.47
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$100.25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.03
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.86
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$72.76
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$168.36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$44.92
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$3.25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$75.22
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38%+$25.05
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$42.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.01
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.8
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$27.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$206.71
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.97
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$302.08
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$388.97
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.14
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.05
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$149.13
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$110.44
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$69.89
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$157.42
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.84
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$141.43
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30%+$29.4
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$197.52
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.13
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.39
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.53
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$23.4
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$162.84
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$42.77
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.74
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.95
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 3 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.73
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nakashima vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Palermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.53
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Fariabacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilaganbacked Yosuke Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$15.35
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$159.04
Bloomfield Hills: Blaise Bicknell vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$62.79
Henrique Rocha vs. Pedro Martinez: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$91.67
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.35
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.18
Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$134.51
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$54.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.