TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$585,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$691,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed PARIVISION30c55,522$16,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,618.5725255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed PARIVISION31c50,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,499.9620153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ70c42,610$29,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,783.0638358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed MOUZ69c20,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20010749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked MOUZ70c12,571$8,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.581546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked PARIVISION12c11,447$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.92948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ69c10,317$7,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.1337157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed PARIVISION30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed PARIVISION10c7,924$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.682,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed MOUZ69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1703250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked PARIVISION15c6,890$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.9623938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION14c5,037$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.8756822.5%128 W · 440 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked PARIVISION13c4,761$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.743426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked PARIVISION11c4,615$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3572644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed PARIVISION15c4,450$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.1317737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed PARIVISION15c4,050$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed MOUZ70c3,999$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.944266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked PARIVISION15c3,751$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.861338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed PARIVISION35c3,613$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.113548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed MOUZ69c3,400$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05417062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed PARIVISION14c3,336$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8219840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION12c3,194$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION9c3,166$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.984,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION12c2,900$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.895,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked MOUZ69c2,844$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.6429046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed MOUZ77c2,760$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.923551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked PARIVISION23c2,581$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…1a6bbacked PARIVISION14c2,520$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ79c2,123$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7740253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed PARIVISION28c2,076$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.137459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed PARIVISION6c2,074$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3613242.4%56 W · 76 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c2…190bbacked PARIVISION11c2,041$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.896643.9%29 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6810…1c7dbacked MOUZ79c1,992$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.552969%20 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked PARIVISION30c1,885$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.510644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed PARIVISION7c1,864$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed MOUZ71c1,774$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.946546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ70c1,674$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.260953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ70c1,627$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2227961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed PARIVISION31c1,609$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked PARIVISION25c1,587$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed PARIVISION31c1,575$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.312055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked PARIVISION12c1,515$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked PARIVISION29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43511650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked PARIVISION31c1,465$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.151540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked MOUZ77c1,342$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.791030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked PARIVISION26c1,323$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed MOUZ76c1,321$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4115150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked PARIVISION30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39075145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked PARIVISION31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PARIVISION18c1,198$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.962,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed PARIVISION31c1,162$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.227040%28 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked PARIVISION10c1,125$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed PARIVISION13c1,101$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed PARIVISION15c1,040$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.435143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed MOUZ80c1,000$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20530153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed MOUZ69c900$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2798652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed PARIVISION9c852.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.16041.7%25 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ74c751.37$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6946165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked PARIVISION3c729.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3322129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed PARIVISION12c719.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.937642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed PARIVISION5c715.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1412118.2%22 W · 99 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ70c690$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2073,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ68c638.74$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.456941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f0…6be8backed PARIVISION29c628.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed PARIVISION13c619.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5823072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed MOUZ70c610.84$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.255837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked MOUZ71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1745455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed MOUZ70c599.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806544.6%29 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked MOUZ77c583$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.437850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed PARIVISION9c550$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.497027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION21c505.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.471,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891a…f778backed PARIVISION9c503.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.333043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbc…96a6backed MOUZ71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed PARIVISION9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.541848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked PARIVISION30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION9c495.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1135242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked PARIVISION30c470$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked MOUZ71c467.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9911564.3%74 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed PARIVISION26c466.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203250%16 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed PARIVISION12c457.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7829831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c9f…4d8dbacked PARIVISION27c452.35$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1350%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ69c448.89$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed MOUZ69c444.26$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.724250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed MOUZ70c443.86$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.866173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7838650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed PARIVISION11c431.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5911944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed PARIVISION9c419.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7254938.4%211 W · 338 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed PARIVISION14c410$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.442631.5%134 W · 292 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6abd…94ecbacked PARIVISION5c402.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked PARIVISION19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7649849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed PARIVISION32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc916…6371backed MOUZ71c387$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.231675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed PARIVISION8c376.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.022,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e91…391dbacked PARIVISION13c359.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.972437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed PARIVISION15c358.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.39033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed PARIVISION7c355$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9621143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed PARIVISION7c334.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.812937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fc1…aee3backed MOUZ70c322.87$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked PARIVISION7c320.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3926653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MOUZ70c308$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.