TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9166…b479backed PARIVISION43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.9910749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PARIVISION17c14,540$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.121,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION42c13,279$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.061,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed MOUZ80c9,089$7,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.7819057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed MOUZ74c8,380$6,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed PARIVISION30c7,426$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.3835054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked PARIVISION12c5,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked PARIVISION21c4,776$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ59c4,354$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.511,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ57c4,000$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.881,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed PARIVISION24c3,958$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.66347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed PARIVISION3c3,936$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed PARIVISION42c2,800$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16228843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed PARIVISION44c2,700$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.998652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed PARIVISION25c2,017$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION19c1,678$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.1757322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed PARIVISION19c1,667$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3540264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ62c1,566$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.491,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed MOUZ66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51030153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked PARIVISION20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed PARIVISION37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ77c1,481$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5518444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7961…ff64backed PARIVISION25c1,240$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked PARIVISION11c1,200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13412132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed MOUZ56c1,173$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.195054%27 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION41c1,125$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ58c1,112$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.6940253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed MOUZ79c1,097$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4135344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed MOUZ76c1,086$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.429831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ59c1,086$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.0188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked PARIVISION43c1,050$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.515425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed PARIVISION45c1,004$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.975133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed PARIVISION1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked MOUZ65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked MOUZ56c928.57$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.577550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed PARIVISION28c882$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24911341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION19c860.31$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.331,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ57c850$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.51,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked PARIVISION38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked PARIVISION21c751.11$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked PARIVISION40c737$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2349536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed PARIVISION16c720$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11512118.2%22 W · 99 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked MOUZ56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2923858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed PARIVISION6c702.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.792,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed PARIVISION16c700$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.732548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked PARIVISION7c688$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7410014%14 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ77c684.42$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2738868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked MOUZ74c664.98$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9875245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed PARIVISION39c632$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4810129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked PARIVISION21c621.42$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ75c616.2$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.184,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed PARIVISION40c602.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24116633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ76c576.84$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8446165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed MOUZ78c570$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7915052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed PARIVISION44c569.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7914151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9f…4d8dbacked PARIVISION38c523.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8750%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed PARIVISION24c485$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.412433.9%42 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed PARIVISION14c478$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed PARIVISION44c471$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2423949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed PARIVISION30c435.61$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.683554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8817…2c2ebacked PARIVISION40c400$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed PARIVISION14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ63c394.5$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.537850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed PARIVISION44c375$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16538052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed PARIVISION40c353.01$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.29033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ56c352.92$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2924038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked MOUZ63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.463951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed PARIVISION19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed MOUZ56c298.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5637453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed PARIVISION15c289.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.488134.6%28 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc916…6371backed MOUZ77c282$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.211776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed PARIVISION18c271.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6112937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ72c271.29$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.637,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed MOUZ66c260$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.241475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd7c…bd7fbacked MOUZ75c258.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked PARIVISION42c255.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5227753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc1…aee3backed MOUZ56c229.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f7…f02bbacked PARIVISION5c218.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked PARIVISION12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416250%81 W · 81 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe295…d437backed PARIVISION45c197.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed PARIVISION17c188$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9644343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed MOUZ56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774060%24 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed MOUZ58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked PARIVISION18c171.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed MOUZ65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.856173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f7c…8b29backed PARIVISION43c149.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.582236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MOUZ63c145$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.651,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe92…4215backed PARIVISION26c143.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed MOUZ71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c17…e1b1backed MOUZ71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed MOUZ65c139.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6617648.3%85 W · 91 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked PARIVISION36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011945.4%54 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed MOUZ57c134.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2114546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked MOUZ80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2658254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed PARIVISION16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010626.4%28 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a9b…9ddebacked PARIVISION25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked PARIVISION20c119.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.433,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ78c114.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.324,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked PARIVISION38c105.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.255536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.