TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa56e…1c76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7566.7%50 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU (BO3) - HLL Playoffsbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$136.5
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.33
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.65
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.22
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$40.33
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$21.41
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.98
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.47
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$207.52
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cupid Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+46%+$105.69
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction - Game 2 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Cupid Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$50.36
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$39.4
LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Francesinhas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$75.49
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$103
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$112.08
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$164.97
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.26
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$20.72
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$8.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.53
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.13
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$24.12
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$59.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.02
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$40.97
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.68
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$143.19
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$141.28
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winnerbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.49
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$82.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.