TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof BIG, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$698,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Spirit59c62,474$36,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,606.21,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked BIG44c24,502$10,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8302948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Spirit78c21,044$16,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,660.1613548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked BIG24c19,745$4,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.8624038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked BIG24c18,717$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed BIG65c18,385$12,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,029.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked BIG67c16,894$11,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,272.3222468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit76c15,640$11,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.925655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit58c11,284$6,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,787.061,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed BIG29c10,735$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.9240264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Spirit32c9,799$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,617.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked BIG42c9,096$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,855.944946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BIG22c8,936$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.842,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit80c8,332$6,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.6764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…d3adbacked BIG27c7,798$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac3…66d8backed Spirit52c7,360$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,535.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+73.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit55c7,317$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.3787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked BIG34c6,618$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.3616946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Spirit79c6,262$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.694257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed BIG20c6,000$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.7311740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed BIG20c5,980$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.331457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed Spirit61c5,280$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.846173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked BIG51c4,666$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.723426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed BIG24c4,599$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.952437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit33c4,545$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.4532348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BIG32c4,420$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.321,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff44…9e86backed Spirit67c4,375$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed BIG19c4,373$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.279033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BIG21c4,365$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.6221424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed BIG36c4,334$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.3519840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Spirit77c4,299$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.534447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked BIG21c4,101$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Spirit77c4,000$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.936560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Spirit72c3,879$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.3619468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed BIG29c3,822$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.519057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked BIG22c3,700$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83132832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BIG42c3,681$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.395,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed BIG65c3,600$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.0337157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed BIG21c3,518$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9510129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked BIG21c3,431$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Spirit75c3,360$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.6225845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Spirit80c3,198$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.281457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Spirit79c3,084$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.643357.6%19 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Spirit73c3,000$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.848758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BIG19c2,866$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5435,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BIG21c2,668$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56652837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Spirit78c2,630$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.624943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked BIG47c2,612$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed BIG62c2,578$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.2865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98eb…8c14backed Spirit76c2,500$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+78.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Spirit65c2,446$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.119949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BIG20c2,445$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.981,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Spirit47c2,431$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.21,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit79c2,410$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BIG20c2,376$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Spirit79c2,363$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.235066%33 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spirit77c2,306$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.3557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit80c2,295$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.95,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Spirit64c2,203$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.2930153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Spirit77c2,097$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.1821143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed Spirit72c2,093$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.3815150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spirit79c2,007$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.448948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Spirit76c1,964$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4926075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f9…b09ebacked BIG55c1,964$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.016443.8%28 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BIG40c1,925$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.933,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG44c1,897$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.972,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked BIG22c1,879$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.271,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked BIG36c1,817$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.7575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed BIG21c1,800$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3782441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked BIG25c1,750$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.035425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93c9…b32cbacked BIG39c1,747$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6803633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3230…f430backed BIG11c1,666$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.861421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed BIG23c1,589$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.934643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BIG22c1,532$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3371,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Spirit78c1,530$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6324339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked BIG20c1,470$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.951,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BIG23c1,457$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.054,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit74c1,454$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.822,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Spirit54c1,439$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.4681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BIG19c1,424$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.472,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed BIG46c1,394$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9245646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Spirit67c1,353$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.071952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed BIG66c1,345$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.617642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed BIG48c1,201$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.484934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spirit68c1,167$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.652,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd772…1d8fbacked BIG68c1,148$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.482441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd8…7b1dbacked BIG11c1,137$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.495927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00b…8897backed BIG23c1,130$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spirit51c1,109$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.3840253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked BIG40c1,100$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44439970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked BIG17c1,062$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6430223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked BIG28c1,057$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed BIG24c1,043$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505028%14 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit52c1,041$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.851,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit51c1,025$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed BIG41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1723072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Spirit57c999.99$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.455463%34 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed BIG26c992.68$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2567048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed BIG20c990.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.126749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit74c973.89$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.76,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.