CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88cfe82b01a0fde0e4477f0501ae1adb2c25aa62ec6d17d22e2a2d4c93c36143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 34c | 7,783$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.84 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Under | 66c | 6,002$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.81 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 40c | 5,000$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.41 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 65c | 3,263$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.82 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 60c | 2,966$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 2,759$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.56 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 60c | 1,598$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.8 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under | 50c | 1,522$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.06 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 35c | 1,251$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 65c | 923.05$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 27c | 827$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 36c | 555.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 360.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over | 38c | 313.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 64c | 308.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 66c | 264.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 39c | 98.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 76c | 92.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 83.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 735 | 48.4%356 W · 379 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 63c | 61.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…9d82backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 35c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 46.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…4fd8backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 34c | 43.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 37.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 66c | 36.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 57c | 36.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 35c | 33.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Under | 64c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 29.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 65c | 27.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 25.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…d38bbacked Under | 67c | 23.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 65c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Under | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.