CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29173946696564da3b6ce9fcb610d7a7c1551147e3f305dcd569d87795afd117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $472,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 35c | 21,827$7,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,590.02 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed BIG | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 35c | 19,753$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.29 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit | 24c | 13,909$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.74 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed BIG | 71c | 12,779$9,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.2 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 72c | 12,667$9,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,129.73 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 27c | 12,195$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.29 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed BIG | 28c | 10,123$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,293.64 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 53c | 9,446$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked BIG | 63c | 9,241$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.45 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit | 57c | 8,535$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.76 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 44c | 8,264$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.34 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 17c | 5,474$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.98 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…8c7dbacked BIG | 74c | 5,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BIG | 26c | 3,847$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.65 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed BIG | 54c | 3,626$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.83 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BIG | 70c | 3,597$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.44 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit | 53c | 3,500$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.07 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked BIG | 64c | 3,200$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.92 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Spirit | 36c | 3,148$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BIG | 43c | 2,839$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.48 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Spirit | 53c | 2,828$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.95 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit | 52c | 2,701$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.95 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BIG | 75c | 2,600$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed BIG | 65c | 2,507$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.05 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed BIG | 66c | 2,280$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.17 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed BIG | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Spirit | 73c | 2,045$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Spirit | 20c | 2,036$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Spirit | 41c | 1,990$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.6 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Spirit | 25c | 1,970$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit | 15c | 1,901$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Spirit | 37c | 1,867$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.8 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Spirit | 25c | 1,835$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Spirit | 73c | 1,760$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.3 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit | 30c | 1,708$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.53 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 22c | 1,708$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.22 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed BIG | 45c | 1,650$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.05 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Spirit | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 15c | 1,562$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked BIG | 38c | 1,523$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BIG | 77c | 1,468$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.92 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked BIG | 46c | 1,403$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.31 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed BIG | 74c | 1,360$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed BIG | 27c | 1,360$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Spirit | 74c | 1,285$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.9 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Spirit | 23c | 1,268$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit | 46c | 1,266$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.48 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed BIG | 28c | 1,241$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.7 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Spirit | 7c | 1,199$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed Spirit | 28c | 1,198$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked BIG | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed BIG | 38c | 1,152$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.66 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…dd45backed BIG | 50c | 1,147$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spirit | 43c | 1,121$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 72c | 1,115$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.3 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked BIG | 50c | 1,099$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.26 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Spirit | 12c | 1,046$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit | 37c | 1,027$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.09 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Spirit | 74c | 1,024$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed BIG | 65c | 1,018$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.23 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BIG | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Spirit | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit | 47c | 968.67$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed BIG | 27c | 961.44$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.85 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed Spirit | 42c | 955.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Spirit | 46c | 944.39$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.96 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked BIG | 29c | 920$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.2 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Spirit | 34c | 879.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spirit | 71c | 866.51$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.87 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Spirit | 16c | 859.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit | 10c | 837.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…cecdbacked BIG | 28c | 785.71$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked BIG | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 73c | 750$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit | 21c | 742.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked BIG | 80c | 734.31$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BIG | 28c | 720$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Spirit | 55c | 705.22$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…9c54backed Spirit | 56c | 692.75$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Spirit | 73c | 687.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Spirit | 15c | 669.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed BIG | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit | 21c | 651.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed BIG | 62c | 648.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Spirit | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed BIG | 27c | 621.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.63 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…a94cbacked BIG | 44c | 613.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 41c | 606$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Spirit | 22c | 600.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed BIG | 27c | 599.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.98 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…6401backed Spirit | 37c | 594.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed BIG | 60c | 593.33$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed BIG | 67c | 589.55$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Spirit | 23c | 566.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Spirit | 55c | 545.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked BIG | 68c | 542.69$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked BIG | 48c | 542.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.19 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.