CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb1fc362c7db50366c946afd1adc8f66f33937a2e1bacaabce77897369ea8fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof Spirit, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked BIG | 42c | 20,085$8,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,649.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 57c | 15,460$8,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,878.72 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 58c | 11,423$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.43 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked BIG | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked BIG | 43c | 9,980$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.53 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Spirit | 57c | 6,874$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Spirit | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG | 42c | 4,392$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.43 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 57c | 4,327$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.39 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Spirit | 58c | 3,340$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.34 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed BIG | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed BIG | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Spirit | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked BIG | 43c | 1,953$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Spirit | 58c | 1,923$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 56c | 1,121$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.74 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Spirit | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Spirit | 57c | 1,022$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Spirit | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed BIG | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed BIG | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit | 18c | 976.87$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Spirit | 58c | 951.11$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.75 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 56c | 942.46$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.49 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Spirit | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed BIG | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked BIG | 43c | 750$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Spirit | 57c | 714.29$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.15 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spirit | 56c | 644.85$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.12 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Spirit | 57c | 643.86$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…2e46backed Spirit | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Spirit | 58c | 500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 57c | 443.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Spirit | 18c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BIG | 41c | 381.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.02 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Spirit | 55c | 359.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Spirit | 57c | 357$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed BIG | 43c | 349.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed BIG | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Spirit | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed BIG | 58c | 260.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Spirit | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed BIG | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Spirit | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 213 | 62.4%133 W · 80 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed BIG | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked BIG | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Spirit | 58c | 227.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…0f44backed Spirit | 58c | 220.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Spirit | 55c | 211$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 52c | 208.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked BIG | 44c | 202.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Spirit | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked BIG | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked BIG | 43c | 198.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Spirit | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit | 27c | 195.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Spirit | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Spirit | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…f83abacked BIG | 44c | 162.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked BIG | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed BIG | 42c | 154.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…c7d7backed Spirit | 58c | 153.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed BIG | 43c | 152.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed Spirit | 58c | 151.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Spirit | 59c | 150.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Spirit | 30c | 133.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed Spirit | 58c | 133.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed BIG | 43c | 133.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Spirit | 58c | 129.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked BIG | 59c | 126.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Spirit | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Spirit | 47c | 119.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…074bbacked BIG | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed BIG | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Spirit | 58c | 107.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Spirit | 36c | 101.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Spirit | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Spirit | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BIG | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…b0edbacked Spirit | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…7682backed BIG | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…035bbacked Spirit | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked BIG | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Spirit | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Spirit | 56c | 86.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed BIG | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked BIG | 43c | 69.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 35c | 69.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Spirit | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed BIG | 43c | 67.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked BIG | 67c | 67.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit | 39c | 63.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Spirit | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Spirit | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Spirit | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Spirit | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.