TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb875…ac87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT16949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$568.17
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$497.97
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$554.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.33
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$750
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$623.56
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$445.09
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$735
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$381.75
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$510.96
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340.34
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$624
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$563.01
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$422.45
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$169.45
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$501.88
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$395.51
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$281.46
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$469.78
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$373.33
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.7
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$653
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$552
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.