Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4431b4a10c926381c72d581ba9bec629f430feea5e72fbaff3a9e2ac87a3001

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,903,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,875,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,903,653 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 918 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes	4c	400,000$15,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,903.26	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	11c	148,524$16,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,919.35	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	3c	60,000$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Yes	10c	50,000$4,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,768.12	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-82%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	7c	47,108$3,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,258.34	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	43,789$3,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,779.19	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes	7c	42,388$2,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,776.99	135	33.3%45 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	13c	39,062$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	11c	35,972$4,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,106.92	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	8c	33,468$2,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,732.33	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…6d98backed Yes	13c	30,146$3,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,778.97	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes	10c	26,486$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.15	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…0088backed Yes	8c	24,401$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,015.07	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	2c	22,791$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.19	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	9c	22,482$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960.45	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa561…f676backed Yes	3c	21,858$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.86	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes	12c	18,847$2,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,229.71	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	12c	18,809$2,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.45	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	6c	18,409$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.24	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	5c	17,564$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.84	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes	9c	17,278$1,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.85	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes	12c	17,230$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…25a8backed Yes	6c	16,466$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.48	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	7c	16,259$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.15	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Yes	6c	15,814$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes	5c	14,583$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.46	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dc…a504backed Yes	6c	14,512$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	13c	14,352$1,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,886.67	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6f…bdfdbacked Yes	14c	14,182$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9842…132bbacked Yes	4c	13,992$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.1	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes	4c	13,275$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	13c	12,811$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	3c	12,177$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.6	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	13c	12,072$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540.61	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes	6c	11,932$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.47	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	2c	11,500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.5	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Yes	8c	11,337$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.92	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	6c	10,714$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78bd…6f69backed Yes	6c	10,610$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.24	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	3c	10,381$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes	12c	10,304$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.28	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	10,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes	4c	9,626$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.42	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	12c	9,445$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.42	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	5c	9,119$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.19	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes	3c	8,808$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.14	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes	10c	8,791$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	10c	8,747$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.64	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	6c	8,526$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.83	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	12c	8,297$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6700…acfebacked Yes	7c	8,296$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.28	66	15.2%10 W · 56 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	11c	8,215$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.14	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea12…41c6backed Yes	8c	8,083$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.51	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+152.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7995…6351backed Yes	7c	8,022$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	5c	8,000$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.5	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	8c	7,856$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.48	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	3c	7,756$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.42	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	8c	7,435$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.71	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…e028backed Yes	8c	7,324$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.92	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	6c	7,187$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.7	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	7c	7,149$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.14	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	6c	6,720$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.64	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	11c	6,697$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.34	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes	9c	6,612$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	6,606$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.82	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	6,534$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.04	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Yes	7c	6,276$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.99	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Yes	7c	6,260$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	14c	6,250$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.64	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	2c	6,151$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.68	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	7c	6,085$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.93	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	4c	6,000$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	5,800$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.55	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6885…c478backed Yes	9c	5,556$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes	11c	5,424$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.88	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes	7c	5,349$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.85	60	8.3%5 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	5c	5,138$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.89	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes	6c	5,116$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.96	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	15cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7c…2d36backed Yes	7c	5,082$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…bce3backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c3…e7a0backed Yes	3c	4,840$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.74	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+38%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	10c	4,600$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.96	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3891…5704backed Yes	9c	4,560$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce45…1a43backed Yes	3c	4,502$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-40%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd742…79e4backed Yes	4c	4,488$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.72	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	8c	4,460$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.12	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f5…17a8backed Yes	9c	4,444$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	8c	4,428$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.63	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	7c	4,400$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.91	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes	9c	4,360$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.88	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d0…b08fbacked Yes	9c	4,268$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.1	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	24cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes	9c	4,190$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.29	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-59%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes	11c	4,085$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Yes	13c	4,032$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.37	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes	2c	4,026$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.46	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d7…6f40backed Yes	7c	3,972$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.21	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked Yes	6c	3,926$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.29	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	2c	3,919$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.26	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event