Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a523f5258fecd737a5adcc64c07e756ff842bc2648ee2520ed54f8fbbae2c7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $674,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $308,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674,048 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	1c	56,287$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.82	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	56,135$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.58	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	0c	36,114$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.6	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	2c	34,815$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.56	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked Yes	6c	32,564$1,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,863.11	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	2c	16,989$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.8	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes	6c	15,528$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.02	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	1c	14,194$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.99	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Yes	8c	12,069$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e40…c827backed Yes	5c	10,927$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes	4c	10,276$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	3c	10,000$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.68	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9507…7b04backed Yes	3c	9,627$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.78	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	7c	9,255$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.1	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	5c	9,100$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.06	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa688…0f82backed Yes	5c	8,135$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.67	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes	7c	7,930$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	90	23.3%21 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes	7c	7,861$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes	9c	5,755$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes	5c	5,463$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.32	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	5c	5,000$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	4,718$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes	1c	4,086$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	8c	4,000$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.95	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	6c	3,842$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8c…1995backed Yes	8c	3,791$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes	1c	3,666$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed8c…e9eabacked Yes	5c	3,647$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes	5c	3,636$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	+41%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Yes	1c	3,589$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.86	127	33.1%42 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,389$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.11	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes	2c	3,107$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.47	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	4c	2,880$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.84	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	4c	2,783$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.92	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b9…e354backed Yes	5c	2,773$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.72	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	5c	2,764$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	266	18%48 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	2c	2,513$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.64	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	7c	2,239$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.29	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6b…1e83backed Yes	1c	2,224$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	3c	2,164$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.88	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	2,100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75df…f9fdbacked Yes	5c	2,000$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes	6c	2,000$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebf…2459backed Yes	8c	1,969$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Yes	7c	1,900$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes	5c	1,818$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	+10.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes	3c	1,810$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	5c	1,755$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.98	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	7c	1,711$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.89	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes	6c	1,710$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.14	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes	3c	1,700$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.7	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-53%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	5c	1,647$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.69	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69a0…e5f6backed Yes	6c	1,613$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	1,607$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.51	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89b…11f5backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes	5c	1,453$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.5	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes	5c	1,401$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.08	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	8c	1,399$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.3	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	2c	1,312$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…ebb2backed Yes	6c	1,210$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	6c	1,096$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.07	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf47f…d2bbbacked Yes	9c	1,092$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes	6c	1,075$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.01	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	1c	1,036$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7c…085cbacked Yes	6c	952.86$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23d…da1fbacked Yes	5c	922.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	4c	910.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	5c	909.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes	5c	909.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes	6c	893.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes	6c	892.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes	2c	888.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	226	27.9%63 W · 163 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	7c	888$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.16	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da5…9c11backed Yes	5c	769.23$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc7…2385backed Yes	7c	753.81$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9394…37dabacked Yes	3c	729.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Yes	7c	724.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	15.6%20 W · 108 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc177…7fbbbacked Yes	3c	715.3$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x935c…460bbacked Yes	2c	710$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	7c	675.44$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	5c	660.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd98e…b586backed Yes	8c	657.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	6c	640.36$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.86	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e4…f534backed Yes	4c	637.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613d…5942backed Yes	5c	622.69$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.83	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa758…521abacked Yes	3c	601.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	5c	570$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes	8c	561.88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cce…6681backed Yes	7c	550.04$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.52	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3588…302fbacked Yes	9c	540.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	3c	532.55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	6c	500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	7c	499.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf3…82a8backed Yes	8c	497.51$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bb…570bbacked Yes	2c	497.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	5c	476.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x531c…b0a6backed Yes	5c	475.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4b…5c8dbacked Yes	5c	471.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event