TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$646,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes2c100,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes1c18,300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.927811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff0…8e88backed Yes7c16,900$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-45.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c15,942$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes0c14,700$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5731920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes3c11,111$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.899627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes3c8,054$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.91355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c7,248$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.12,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes2c6,376$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5114116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e4…f534backed Yes2c6,307$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4870%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes0c6,200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.69915.2%15 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes3c5,836$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6714427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ed…019cbacked Yes3c5,380$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e40…c827backed Yes4c5,274$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29cc…a609backed Yes3c4,827$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…0fc3backed Yes3c4,818$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb5…c5f1backed Yes3c4,720$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.712334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes1c4,516$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.847646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0067…cfb4backed Yes2c4,500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes2c4,497$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x361f…041ebacked Yes3c4,449$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.46520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x749a…17b6backed Yes3c4,333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes3c4,307$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.963135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes4c3,801$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.18608.3%5 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-72%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Yes3c3,704$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe036…1504backed Yes3c3,592$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Yes3c3,546$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.757542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6522…15a7backed Yes3c3,454$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.58825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c3,384$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9494…c008backed Yes3c3,277$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3150%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44c9…ca41backed Yes3c3,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967237.5%27 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8be6…2858backed Yes3c3,113$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbebe…72e1backed Yes2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…3f87backed Yes4c2,665$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-75.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60bb…19a3backed Yes2c2,462$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes2c2,300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.613731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…2cb7backed Yes3c2,298$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.94147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes1c2,230$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.988822.7%20 W · 68 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5a…5323backed Yes3c2,223$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-64.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Yes3c2,208$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.488341%34 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes4c2,149$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.633330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cb4…1011backed Yes4c2,111$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1376…b572backed Yes2c2,008$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes2c2,006$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes2c2,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes3c1,866$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3920932.5%68 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…dba2backed Yes3c1,754$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…8db1backed Yes6c1,723$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf1a…9924backed Yes3c1,678$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b6…6be8backed Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03ef…6f4fbacked Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…7616backed Yes3c1,615$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fd…62d6backed Yes3c1,603$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbea…ea49backed Yes3c1,549$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.77100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,528$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.077799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…1fcbbacked Yes4c1,520$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4265…3741backed Yes3c1,500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35f6…5e45backed Yes3c1,436$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad5…c7bebacked Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee5…1ba3backed Yes4c1,414$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bfe…2f12backed Yes4c1,404$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…5c9abacked Yes3c1,400$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae27…e786backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Yes3c1,347$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375927.1%16 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f6…32b0backed Yes3c1,340$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,294$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.222021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes3c1,159$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5751228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0626…513abacked Yes3c1,149$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6760%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4351…d5e0backed Yes3c1,146$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes2c1,125$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.881330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8af…37e5backed Yes3c1,094$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed Yes3c1,068$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68f0…7443backed Yes3c1,036$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae5…6bb0backed Yes3c1,019$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes3c1,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes4c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9818926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Yes2c999.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc871…5b9dbacked Yes3c979.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c37…5031backed Yes3c969.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Yes4c909.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e2…9787backed Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea9…59dabacked Yes3c902.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9404…4288backed Yes3c892.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb814…a0c0backed Yes3c872.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes3c855.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229651%49 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…de62backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…6e92backed Yes2c818.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+143.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77df…8818backed Yes4c817.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe8…cac3backed Yes3c817.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9874…4f5ebacked Yes3c809.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bde…c804backed Yes3c769.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4209…aa9abacked Yes3c750$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2180%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa409…82bdbacked Yes3c740.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes3c731.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287e…cbf5backed Yes4c717.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274816.7%8 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes3c700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6b…4beebacked Yes3c699.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.