Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6249766ee1744e1f2bb84b2a04f4b0c041414f4049532c3747068ada9eff5e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $610,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $453,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,090 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes	0c	64,111$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.31	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	1c	49,473$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.02	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	1c	32,384$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.1	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	1c	29,284$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes	1c	15,000$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.29	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…3f87backed Yes	1c	12,531$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.44	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes	1c	10,340$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.06	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a4…4eeebacked Yes	1c	10,006$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x799d…d9abbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x890d…3afcbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes	1c	8,864$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.73	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	0c	8,783$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.35	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes	1c	8,300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.7	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes	1c	7,702$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.95	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebbf…3b77backed Yes	1c	7,625$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Yes	1c	4,748$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	1c	2,978$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765b…6bf8backed Yes	1c	2,806$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ee2dbacked Yes	2c	2,246$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes	1c	2,220$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf809…b391backed Yes	1c	1,550$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbc…1fb5backed Yes	1c	1,529$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f14…8054backed Yes	1c	1,520$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	1,384$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.66	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…9ac8backed Yes	1c	1,258$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1964…ec64backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-81%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	1,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…f50fbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event