TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9a7…f50f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Pierce be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$15.28
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$36.2
Will Tua Tagovailoa play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Kyler Murray play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$148.09
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+465%+$83.74
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.56
Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.3%+$319.77
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.7%+$49.66
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.91
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.41
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+54.5%+$139.95
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42.13
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$72.07
Texans vs. Steelers: 1H Moneylinebacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+212%+$96.48
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+67.1%+$11.63
49ers vs. Eagles: 1H Moneylinebacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+89.5%+$25.98
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.66
Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$129.76
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+981.6%+$197.09
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.8
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.84
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$8.02
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.63
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$760.48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.04
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.91
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.84
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.67
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.86
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.2
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.31
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.01
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.9
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$418
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$85.99
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$211.77
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$111.41
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+429.1%+$405.48
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.6
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.89
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$70
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+106.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.87
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+32%+$12.54
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$52.47
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$430.11
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tim Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$36.34
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$650.1
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$29
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$15.09
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.99
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105.56
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Freeman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$66.85
UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Fugitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,619.5%+$171.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Baezbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Set Handicap: Wawrinka (-1.5) vs Djere (+1.5)backed Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jaime Fariabacked Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
ASB Classic, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+158.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.7%+$3.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JD Gaming win Demacia Cup 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.