Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242e7bc7b52d0b3ae4f76e80fc9785897baebaced5fe0709b8bdec828dfa6d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 24,336$11,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,951.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 48c | 22,732$10,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,910.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 52c | 13,500$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 10,151$5,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 7,855$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.57 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 47c | 7,449$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.42 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 48c | 5,976$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.56 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 5,956$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 42c | 5,800$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 42c | 5,791$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…8bd8backed Yes | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 5,604$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.34 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 5,346$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 58c | 5,194$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.74 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 52c | 4,988$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.15 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked No | 50c | 4,960$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 52c | 4,822$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.04 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 53c | 4,604$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 48c | 4,592$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 53c | 4,149$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.06 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 47c | 4,063$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.96 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 52c | 3,811$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 3,782$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.01 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 3,773$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.5 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 52c | 3,747$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.76 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 20c | 3,716$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.54 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Yes | 50c | 3,291$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 3,217$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.36 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,201$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.99 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 3,023$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.1 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 48c | 2,895$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 57c | 2,770$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.46 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 2,680$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.35 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 48c | 2,521$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.68 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 51c | 2,353$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 48c | 2,037$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 48c | 1,981$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 35c | 1,682$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 1,666$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 1,571$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.04 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 43c | 1,525$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.24 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 47c | 1,467$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Yes | 54c | 1,399$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,350$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 52c | 1,338$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.04 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,305$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 51c | 1,116$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 52c | 1,115$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes | 76c | 1,062$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 52c | 999.55$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.78 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…babebacked Yes | 53c | 957$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e67abacked No | 47c | 956$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…3b2fbacked No | 47c | 944$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…89e4backed Yes | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Yes | 76c | 912.33$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 892.87$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Yes | 52c | 776.12$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 29c | 767.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 48c | 714$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 48c | 703.5$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 660$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed No | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 47c | 600.01$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 48c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 52c | 586.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 52c | 585.57$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.63 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 53c | 567.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.92 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 50c | 541$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 57c | 522.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 48c | 499.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 29c | 486.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 48c | 457.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 48c | 441.56$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 52c | 433.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 54c | 428.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.