TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x019d…2b01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
369
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT29037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 290 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,928.67
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.56
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.08
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,409Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+245.3%+$13,267.83
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.69
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$85.95
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$76.1
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,043.29
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.41
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.81
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,965.54
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.95
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$224.22
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$585.78
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+328.2%+$1,565.39
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.2
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$50.94
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,779.65
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,951Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,091.86
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$1,621.13
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$848.59
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.7
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,919Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,135.29
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.6
Showing 25 of 290 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$200.1
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$371.27
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+50.5%+$447.02
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$739.63
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$425
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.7%+$590.56
Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$214.34
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Lightning vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$307.68
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$575.61
Jets vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$298.15
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.7%+$185.94
Kraken vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$23.07
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$238.97
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$459.68
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+59.8%+$448.28
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+131.8%+$659.09
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,500
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+669.2%+$669.23
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$990
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+229.8%+$1,034.23
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$492
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$392.86
Australian Open Women's: Talia Gibson vs Anna Blinkovabacked Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$572.73
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+86.8%+$216.98
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$461.06
Australian Open Men's: Mackenzie McDonald vs Liam Draxlbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$192.66
Australian Open Men's: Jaime Faria vs Marco Trungellitibacked Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.22
Australian Open Men's: Vitaliy Sachko vs Liam Draxlbacked Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+54.2%+$258.06
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Casper Ruudbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+76.3%+$419.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+86.5%+$648.88
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$259
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$299.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$750
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,833.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.