NFL · resolved market
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e3c826653a635e7446cf0846acbd4b0cd6b95eb7e5f84adbeef5ac5d5474565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $798,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $808,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Steelers | 56c | 217,553$121,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,533.43 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Texans | 44c | 181,659$79,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,732.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Steelers | 57c | 138,804$79,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,118.31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 43c | 121,220$52,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,965.28 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Steelers | 57c | 80,356$46,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,101.18 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texans | 43c | 61,880$26,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,128.01 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Steelers | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 45c | 41,941$18,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,098.22 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 56c | 41,886$23,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,464.3 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Texans | 43c | 40,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,899.77 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 43c | 30,666$13,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,479.62 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Texans | 44c | 17,305$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,690.55 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Steelers | 56c | 16,999$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.64 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Steelers | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Texans | 43c | 15,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.97 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Texans | 44c | 14,985$6,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,440.8 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Texans | 42c | 12,818$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Steelers | 50c | 11,603$5,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,785.19 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Texans | 44c | 11,438$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,405.27 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texans | 43c | 9,657$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.93 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…e118backed Steelers | 57c | 8,015$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texans | 44c | 7,971$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.79 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Steelers | 56c | 7,318$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Steelers | 56c | 7,068$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.57 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Steelers | 57c | 5,135$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Texans | 44c | 5,016$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.86 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Texans | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…4b6abacked Steelers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…43eabacked Texans | 44c | 4,995$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texans | 43c | 4,838$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.53 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Texans | 44c | 4,352$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.27 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Texans | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texans | 43c | 3,917$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.8 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Steelers | 57c | 3,751$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.99 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Steelers | 57c | 3,507$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Texans | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 57c | 3,476$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.65 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Texans | 43c | 3,417$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Texans | 43c | 3,408$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Texans | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 41c | 2,931$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.55 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Texans | 46c | 2,822$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.33 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Texans | 43c | 2,773$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.61 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Steelers | 60c | 2,646$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.54 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Steelers | 22c | 2,639$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.19 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Steelers | 56c | 2,516$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.84 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Texans | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Steelers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Steelers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…b1e0backed Texans | 47c | 2,457$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Steelers | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Texans | 43c | 2,047$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Steelers | 58c | 2,036$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.15 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Texans | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…8571backed Texans | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Steelers | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Steelers | 57c | 1,748$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Steelers | 58c | 1,732$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Steelers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Texans | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Texans | 45c | 1,524$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Steelers | 60c | 1,390$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Texans | 79c | 1,279$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.81 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texans | 43c | 1,241$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.37 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Texans | 45c | 1,219$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Texans | 43c | 1,159$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Texans | 44c | 1,146$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.53 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Texans | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texans | 55c | 1,136$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.46 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Steelers | 57c | 1,107$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.55 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Texans | 44c | 1,092$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Steelers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Texans | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Texans | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Steelers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Texans | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Steelers | 57c | 958.83$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.79 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Steelers | 58c | 948.27$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked Texans | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked Texans | 52c | 904.68$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Steelers | 57c | 894.72$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 47c | 877.27$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Steelers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…469fbacked Steelers | 59c | 847.98$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Texans | 48c | 840.01$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Texans | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Texans | 48c | 774.64$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x020a…b3d1backed Steelers | 66c | 726$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Steelers | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Texans | 43c | 711.47$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Texans | 43c | 709.85$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Texans | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Texans | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Steelers | 56c | 682.04$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.5 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Texans | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Steelers | 59c | 662.25$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.02 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Texans | 43c | 660.16$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Steelers | 58c | 611.59$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Texans | 42c | 610.74$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Steelers | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Texans won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Texans vs. SteelersTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.