NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Steelers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf167468f50e24aa73818ead01ef63fb3b07ae445769fd0360095160f687bbe10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texans | 58c | 1,189$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.41 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Steelers | 42c | 1,049$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.56 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Texans | 59c | 843.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Steelers | 43c | 686.4$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Steelers | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Texans | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb874…04ccbacked Texans | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Steelers | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Texans | 44c | 356.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.55 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…469fbacked Steelers | 46c | 300.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 53c | 269.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…7ababacked Texans | 59c | 254.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Texans | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd518…a1b2backed Texans | 57c | 173.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Texans | 56c | 146$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Texans | 32c | 142$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Steelers | 45c | 111.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa6…47c7backed Steelers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Steelers | 39c | 109.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Steelers | 58c | 95.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texans | 55c | 95.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa879…5e9fbacked Steelers | 27c | 92.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Texans | 57c | 51.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Texans | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Steelers | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Texans | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…b6f1backed Texans | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Texans | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Steelers | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Steelers | 41c | 31.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Texans | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Steelers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Steelers | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Texans | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Steelers | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Steelers | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Steelers | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Steelers | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Steelers | 56c | 21.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…fe77backed Texans | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Texans | 55c | 18.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Texans won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Texans vs. SteelersTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.