TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32f4…c885

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
814
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFLlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT31032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 310 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+74.3%+$28.08
Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+162.4%+$17.87
Kenneth Walker III: First Touchdownbacked Kenneth Walker III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$206.72
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+344.2%+$137.66
Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+184.2%+$40.11
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.61
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.19
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37.75
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.38
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$43.15
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+115.8%+$21.18
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Showing 25 of 310 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT16614.5%24 W · 142 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$26.89
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+653.5%+$408.87
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+525%+$89.25
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$13.96
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5-6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$24.17
"Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.88
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+141%+$21.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+287.8%+$71.11
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$14.61
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+135%+$13.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$22.26
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.82
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$13.37
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5653.6%30 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$105.84
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$12.89
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$51
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281%+$53.38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$18.98
Spain to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Mexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$30.62
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$70.22
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.38
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+261.4%+$32.73
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+228.3%+$280
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.67
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+122%+$54.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+280.8%+$92.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+316%+$31.6
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+143.8%+$65.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bitcoin dip to $106K September 1–7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+501%+$65.13
Bitcoin all time high before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$72.83
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2619.2%5 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.25
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.29
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+168.6%+$33.71
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+215.1%+$23.66
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+163.2%+$48.95
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$12
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$22
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$10.12
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$447.33
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+654.9%+$111.33
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$61
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$162
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$65.69
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$62
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$215.19
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$153.72
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$231.97
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$115
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$98.11
Israel aid package by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$29.33
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+83.9%+$26.52
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.93
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Iran Nuke in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.66
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$36.94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.08
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+121.6%+$341.42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+142.2%+$34.12
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+104.1%+$17.69
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will Israel strike Iran on Thursday Oct 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
Iran military response by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$39
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$244.69
No Israel ground offensive in Rafah before April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2024, EDT+417.7%+$648.09
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-62.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$9.31
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-3.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+281.7%+$45.55
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69%+$21.77
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$8.16
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will Purdue win the NCAA tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$91
Will South Carolina win the Women's NCAA tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.85
Team from West wins March Madness 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
NCAA Tournament 2024: Will no #1 seeds make it to the Semifinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$31.72
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$182.34
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$310.81
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.96
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+259.2%+$134.96
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.65
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$371.16
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$96.46
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$266.43
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.99
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.41
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$62.05
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$254
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+455.6%+$173.11
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$440.19
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$420
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the Division Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+82.1%+$16.41
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+132.3%+$43.65
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.55
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.14
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+269.8%+$65.28
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.57
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
USC vs. Illinoisbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.25
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
Will Julia Taubitz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will China win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$29
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+1,328.6%+$584.57
Will Great Britain win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.4
Ukraine aid package in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+156.7%+$26.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.