AI · resolved market
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2878c869ba9d393d6b231792dc87b57117c5560c817449187802c37e51c726b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01d6…01cbbacked No | 4c | 1,987$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc823…528abacked No | 4c | 1,513$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 16c | 1,334$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked No | 5c | 840$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 77c | 734.1$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 23c | 680.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 76c | 651.41$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 25c | 535.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…0923backed No | 5c | 465.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 57c | 440.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…b577backed Yes | 79c | 424.52$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 48c | 412.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 315.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 16c | 287.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 70c | 266.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 61c | 261.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 258.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 237.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 11c | 236.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…8621backed No | 24c | 232.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…f86abacked Yes | 50c | 225.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 57c | 222.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 20c | 207.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdad…885dbacked Yes | 76c | 192.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed No | 16c | 186.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 72c | 173.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 139 | 71.9%100 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…9b59backed Yes | 52c | 170.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Yes | 61c | 162.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 63c | 157.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107f…505cbacked Yes | 10c | 146.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +421.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…de6fbacked Yes | 64c | 145.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 52c | 132.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5d…c819backed Yes | 71c | 127.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 56c | 126.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…ca94backed Yes | 69c | 125.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…5cafbacked Yes | 70c | 120.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…8b02backed Yes | 79c | 114.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3083…f85cbacked Yes | 56c | 113.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked No | 47c | 111.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 51c | 106.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598f…a2c6backed No | 38c | 105.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…14eebacked No | 47c | 101.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…56bdbacked Yes | 54c | 93.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 22c | 90.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f6…6448backed Yes | 45c | 89.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 30c | 88.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe765…603cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 78c | 82.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…a2a0backed Yes | 25c | 80.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…a0e6backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 25c | 78.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…b0dcbacked Yes | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…10a5backed No | 58c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…95a7backed No | 48c | 75.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 42c | 71.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e6…be37backed No | 48c | 68.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 40c | 63.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…116fbacked Yes | 66c | 63.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…cba8backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…ef2fbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…6d89backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…28f0backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…3ea8backed No | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…473bbacked No | 67c | 57.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 27c | 52.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…350bbacked Yes | 67c | 50.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…9ed1backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 21c | 49.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 69c | 48.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 32c | 48.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9f46backed Yes | 51c | 45.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Yes | 37c | 42.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 49c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…c795backed Yes | 67c | 41.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 32c | 38.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -19.3wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…7abdbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 51c | 35.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…4956backed No | 42c | 34.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…fa9fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…3376backed Yes | 62c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…88d7backed Yes | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Yes | 64c | 30.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…840dbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…88d1backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked Yes | 63c | 28.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05cd…0291backed Yes | 72c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…758abacked Yes | 72c | 25.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…fbe5backed Yes | 65c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3624…0d46backed Yes | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?this page
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $620b and $630b on January 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on January 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $640b and $650b on January 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $650b and $660b on January 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $620b on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.