TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8975…ffe6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,443
Categories scored
46
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Boxing, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 60 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20668.9%142 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$87.31
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.97
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.25
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.13
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.18
Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.38
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29%+$33.33
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.85
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.1
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.59
Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$15.84
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$28.91
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.87
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.75
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT16173.9%119 W · 42 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 161 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$33.4
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$40.54
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.32
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$24.35
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$5.09
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$41.75
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.26
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+36%+$28.62
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$12.85
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.68
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$4.93
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.1%+$20.26
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49%+$19.52
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.2
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.9%+$23.81
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.32
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+43.8%+$9.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25.1%+$31.91
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.32
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$13.98
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+74.2%+$19.35
Showing 25 of 161 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT13971.9%100 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$22.78
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.13
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.13
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.5
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.52
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.05
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.75
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.61
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42%+$15.1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$47.94
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$13.66
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$31.37
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$7.71
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$47.52
VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28%+$6.03
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$12.28
Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$25.51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$7.93
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.37
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT11069.1%76 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$17.2
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$8.76
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.08
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.45
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$55.08
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$3.78
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.95
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$25.63
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$52.82
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$16.9
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.56
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.24
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$3.29
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.3
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$13.51
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT7577.3%58 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$35.26
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.31
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.96
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.61
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 6500 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.1
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.16
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.04
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$144 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$5.22
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$51.59
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$18.57
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.33
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $7.00 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$6.5
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $275?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $365?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.1%+$6.79
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $175?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.67
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.14
Will Meta dip to $590 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.2%+$18.99
Will Amazon dip to $224 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.01
Will Amazon dip to $216 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$14.05
Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$55.56
Will Tesla reach $495 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
Will Tesla reach $510 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.23
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+64%+$64.59
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6872.1%49 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$16.7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$10.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$23.09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$7.41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$25.02
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$3.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$5.26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$31.87
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.98
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$21.45
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29%+$10.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.33
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$9.44
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.08
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$18.7
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT6771.6%48 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$30.47
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$26.75
Will Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$14.2
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.6%+$44.64
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+57.6%+$22.45
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.6
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.98
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.88
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.31
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+64.6%+$65.15
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+67.8%+$32.26
Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.6%+$30.95
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37.5%+$18.5
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+36.9%+$13.5
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+30.7%+$28.23
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$16.22
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.66
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT6756.7%38 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$13.98
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47.23
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.58
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+70.1%+$67.91
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.76
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.16
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.3%+$27.48
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+41.6%+$4.82
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.81
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$6.5
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.9%+$9.88
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.1
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$11.09
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.56
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.07
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.54
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6675.8%50 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$16.17
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$16.97
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.09
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.33
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$51.41
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.35
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.25
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$19.86
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.7
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+54.3%+$47.66
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+46.5%+$26.09
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.31
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+27.1%+$10.36
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.4%+$9.46
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.21
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$7.59
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.4%+$48.07
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.1%+$3.94
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.8%+$60.39
Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.54
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$24.29
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT5974.6%44 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.68
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.92
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.86
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.82
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$40.67
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$23.16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.33
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$7.84
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.98
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.82
Will Trump say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.38
Will Trump say "Messi" 3+ times during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.5
Will Trump say "Pelé" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.46
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$81.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.4
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-8.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $MARU reach $1B in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$34.92
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39.5%+$10.26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$17.5
Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.31
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.1%+$22.85
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.6%+$5.93
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.74
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$83.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.06
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.31
Will XRP dip to $1.70 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$89.89
Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$93.28
Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$134.35
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$384.76
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$53.02
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4875%36 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.33
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.05
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.08
Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$25.51
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.67
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+60.6%+$43.75
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be at least 400k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.5%+$3.9
Will Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.2%+$18
Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Kendrick Lamar win 3 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$17.33
Will Lady Gaga win 1 Grammy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$6.5
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+50%+$41.18
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.13
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.37
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34.9%+$9.07
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59.31
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.79
Will "MAYHEM - Lady Gaga" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+41%+$17.66
Will "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+32%+$23.33
Will "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.1%+$20.74
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.27
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+43.7%+$12.51
Will "ICE" be said at the Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29%+$7.43
Will "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Addison Rae perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.6%+$23.19
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$9.43
Will Elon Musk post 60+ tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.14
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$16.43
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.9%+$22.16
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+71.8%+$21.54
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.4%+$17.36
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+27.7%+$9.56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$27.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$104.87
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.61
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.5%+$10.84
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.5%+$18.8
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.77
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18.56
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63.53
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$85.65
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.9%+$33.76
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+59.7%+$12.84
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$6.89
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.51
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$11.24
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+59.7%+$8.71
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25.8%+$10.42
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.31
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.5%+$55.66
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$50.51
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+41.4%+$14.46
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37.6%+$9.4
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.5%+$15.35
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37.7%+$5.2
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70.45
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.36
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+54.7%+$27.88
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.49
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.31
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3275%24 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38%+$4.48
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.85
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$26.13
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35%+$21.55
Will Alexa Avilés be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27%+$3.61
Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$8.39
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.66
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.69
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.25
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$59.09
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.58
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$6.99
Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$9.35
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 70% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.33
Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$29.74
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$23
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+77.4%+$10.22
Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64.2%+$19.54
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tua Tagovailoa traded by next season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.7
Big Game: 'NE Dynasty' Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$9.57
Will Jim Schwartz be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.5%+$23.22
Will Chris Shula be the next Pittsburgh Steelers Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.22
Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Will the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.4%+$6.06
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+68.5%+$39.72
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.62
Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+65.6%+$23.91
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.08
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.14
Will the Carolina Panthers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.72
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+30.6%+$5.94
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38%+$14.85
Will TreVeyon Henderson record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+54.2%+$26.24
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$4.07
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+30.1%+$17.41
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+57.2%+$17.15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$6.11
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.61
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+45.3%+$14.96
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+27.8%+$35.96
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25.2%+$8.43
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.07
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$62.7
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+40.6%+$19.54
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.38
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+36.9%+$21.75
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.7%+$15.79
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52.48
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.3% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$7.95
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.2% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.33
Will annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+62.9%+$10.06
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+43.7%+$10.49
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+27.4%+$7.15
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+57.8%+$20.14
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$57.39
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2070%14 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+55.5%+$40.45
Will Google say "Privacy" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.67
Will Google say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.67
Will Google say "European Commission" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$6.5
Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Tesla say "China" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.04
Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+45.9%+$45.76
Will Ryanair say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+63.5%+$43.8
Will Ryanair say "Holiday" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$23.29
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+43.6%+$11.33
Will Ryanair say "ATC" or "Air Traffic Control" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.4%+$42.86
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.8%+$13.69
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Netflix say "Jake Paul" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+43.9%+$10.21
Will BlackRock say "Record AUM" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70.08
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will FedEx say "Truck" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.2%+$9.81
Will KB Home (KBH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.58
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.1%+$7.44
All 20 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$15.97
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.64
Will Daniel Berger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.71
Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$4.63
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Will Ricky Castillo win the 2026 Puerto Rico Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.12
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.1%+$15.62
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.7%+$9.18
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25.7%+$3.62
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.8%+$21.84
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.04
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$209.27
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.8%+$8.5
Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.3%+$15.9
Will Lando Norris be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+34.3%+$3.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$7.96
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.47
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+46.9%+$31.89
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.4%+$31.38
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$42.89
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.1
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+52.5%+$13.7
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+67.8%+$37.3
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61%+$7.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Boxing — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.55
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.45
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$77.99
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+36.8%+$39.36
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.39
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.23
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$12.7
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+64.6%+$18.14
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.05
Will the fight end in Round 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.9%+$3.86
Will the fight end in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$2.96
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+50.7%+$12.01
Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+65%+$6.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST12100%12 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Olympics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.67
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10.31
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$6.45
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.6%+$19.46
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.75
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.19
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$6.14
Will Mathilde Gremaud (SUI) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.9
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.25
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.55
Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.8%+$15.11
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 3000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21.28
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.1%+$8.13
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+32.4%+$29.34
Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+30.2%+$22.29
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.1%+$44.28
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$78.77
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+32.4%+$20.22
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$69.21
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+67.3%+$68.98
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+64.9%+$12.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$6.51
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.1%+$8.98
Will PARIVISION win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$113.11
Will Team Falcons win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+60.3%+$21.98
Will FURIA win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.9%+$46.4
Will Valve launch Premier Season 4 by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$14.77
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.16
Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Player of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42%+$4.99
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.7%+$27.36
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-50.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.82
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$17.27
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$7.92
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$8.09
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.57
Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.7%+$2.8
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+60.9%+$15.81
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.42
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.29
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.71
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+45.4%+$5.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.79
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+43.2%+$14.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Togi win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+57.5%+$24.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$24.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.