Music · resolved market
Will "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155947fc3651267f9c2afd70f043e009d7a44b8174f891f1bb52f47775b01704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed No | 9c | 1,091$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed No | 73c | 782$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 27c | 703$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed No | 73c | 293$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 27c | 246$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 12c | 194$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed No | 9c | 164.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 14c | 160.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…f6dcbacked Yes | 35c | 146.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 27c | 137$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…79a4backed Yes | 77c | 124.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 56c | 62.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +692.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…4c56backed No | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will "NAIKI - Nicki Nicole" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will "SINFÓNICO — En Vivo - Yandel" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.