TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec92…1214

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
333
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Music, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Music at 60 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$357.79
Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$79.98
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,081.6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.24
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.08
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.24
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$109.83
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.67
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$86.32
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.28
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.75
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.56
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+170.3%+$233.73
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will The Studio win Best Producer of a TV Comedy Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.62
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$81.76
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.45
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.4
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+36.6%+$35.63
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53.12
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$208.62
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.1%+$94.16
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$138.69
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$151.25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.11
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$236.14
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.72
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$338.21
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.64
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$243.81
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.73
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$632.73
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$218.28
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$237.32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65.52
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$287.68
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,300.05
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$279.62
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$327.63
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$146.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$79.38
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$273.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$227.04
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$579.92
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.22
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.23
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.52
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$204.27
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.24
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$96.81
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$56.91
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.92
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$88.83
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$91.06
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$32.24
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$28.98
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$138.71
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,363.16
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$175.56
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$331.65
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$39.53
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$103.36
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.32
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+300%+$189.75
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+880.4%+$269.4
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$69.2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.19
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$92.7
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$242.98
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$121.52
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.01
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$279.3
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.36
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.07
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$87.72
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+498.8%+$249.07
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$28.29
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.46
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.4
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$60
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$235.17
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.42
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.8
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.75
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$85.1
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123.82
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.21
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.72
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$165.42
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.71
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$354
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.54
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$320.78
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.85
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$268.32
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$356.97
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,234.21
Will "Ayatollah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$107.16
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$292.64
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$452
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+69.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.04
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$281.35
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$198.72
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.88
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$414.72
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.87
Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118.66
Will Emma win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$248.5
Will Alexander Rybak win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$56.96
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$126.17
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+212.5%+$527.68
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30%+$12.93
Will "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$179.58
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+60.3%+$84.6
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.5%+$355.23
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$711.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.48
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$176.99
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.86
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$196.29
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.3
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+402.5%+$850.66
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.62
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$246.75
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$104.28
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.64
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+484.8%+$537.19
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$169
Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.76
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+59.7%+$30.29
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$78.2
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$55.39
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.4
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.5
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$153
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.68
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.36
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.64
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$330.54
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$188.16
Will John Carter be the Republican nominee for TX-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.08
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$63.25
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$313.6
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.85
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$107.91
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$356.16
Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$89.37
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+566.7%+$841.5
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$145.27
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.31
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Chris Shula be the next Giants Head Coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$40.04
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$258.75
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$198.24
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$202.3
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$301.35
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$90.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+106.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+190.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+211.5%+$345.61
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$148.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$31.72
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.06
Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$234.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+230%+$578.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$303.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.7%+$43.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$578
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$71.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.