TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portsmouth FCof Ipswich Town FC, Portsmouth FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc699…7961backed Ipswich Town FC25c7,917$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portsmouth FC78c2,656$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Ipswich Town FC23c2,425$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.277444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Ipswich Town FC24c2,001$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.355042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18fa…3730backed Ipswich Town FC16c1,953$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Portsmouth FC74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked Portsmouth FC75c1,395$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef14…bf21backed Ipswich Town FC16c1,389$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x465c…6e53backed Ipswich Town FC16c1,353$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked Ipswich Town FC16c1,278$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Ipswich Town FC16c1,264$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x874a…d584backed Ipswich Town FC17c902$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7270…add3backed Ipswich Town FC17c897$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.49540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Ipswich Town FC17c845$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed Ipswich Town FC16c764$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.24650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+71.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a9…fee3backed Ipswich Town FC24c763$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca3…9546backed Ipswich Town FC17c740$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Portsmouth FC74c724.94$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.241,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Portsmouth FC78c716.69$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9627552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Portsmouth FC78c716.02$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3430057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…d14dbacked Ipswich Town FC19c711$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefc0…4942backed Ipswich Town FC16c654$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Ipswich Town FC23c652.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.981631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed Ipswich Town FC68c639$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1184…1b67backed Portsmouth FC32c639$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Ipswich Town FC17c612$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2103…e296backed Ipswich Town FC16c598$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf8…c7afbacked Ipswich Town FC16c578$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+139.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab38…77febacked Ipswich Town FC17c578$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked Ipswich Town FC47c576$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ab…56e8backed Portsmouth FC53c576$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…3ceabacked Portsmouth FC75c536$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cb…933ebacked Ipswich Town FC16c532$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ipswich Town FC4c529.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3840821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x28c9…99aabacked Ipswich Town FC38c511$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Portsmouth FC77c508.36$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9411555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efe…d947backed Ipswich Town FC16c501$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Portsmouth FC74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Ipswich Town FC23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9322…01e3backed Portsmouth FC75c486$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Portsmouth FC74c474.93$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.481,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Portsmouth FC77c468.14$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b2…9ae2backed Ipswich Town FC17c467$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Portsmouth FC74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11714355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Ipswich Town FC33c444$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.962,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…6e2ebacked Ipswich Town FC17c437$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Ipswich Town FC23c428$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4432345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae4…ccecbacked Ipswich Town FC16c405$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked Ipswich Town FC16c388$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked Portsmouth FC79c341$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x090c…3c25backed Ipswich Town FC21c341$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Portsmouth FC77c324.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.716757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked Ipswich Town FC16c322$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ae…8598backed Ipswich Town FC25c312$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…735dbacked Ipswich Town FC16c302$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Portsmouth FC77c259.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7724052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb73e…975ebacked Ipswich Town FC16c257$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Ipswich Town FC25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.512532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Portsmouth FC74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea5a…e6aebacked Ipswich Town FC25c233$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Portsmouth FC75c233$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Portsmouth FC74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.617959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Portsmouth FC74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.618156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Portsmouth FC79c208.81$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1513748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Portsmouth FC79c205.23$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.159352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Ipswich Town FC23c202.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Portsmouth FC74c196.64$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.331,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4657…00d6backed Ipswich Town FC16c184$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed Ipswich Town FC17c176$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6897…63b6backed Portsmouth FC77c164$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed Ipswich Town FC23c164$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f2…90d7backed Ipswich Town FC16c162$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-78.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b2…9d96backed Ipswich Town FC16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24a…fc69backed Ipswich Town FC17c158$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Ipswich Town FC22c155.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.968933.7%30 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed Ipswich Town FC17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Portsmouth FC77c129.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.910861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Portsmouth FC77c129.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.97263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Ipswich Town FC33c101$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Ipswich Town FC23c78.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0912561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Portsmouth FC79c78.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4816053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9d…a002backed Ipswich Town FC17c78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Ipswich Town FC23c67.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5128859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Ipswich Town FC23c67.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5123556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Ipswich Town FC32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.125650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Portsmouth FC77c64.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9620259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Portsmouth FC78c64.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1621254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Ipswich Town FC33c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.483650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Portsmouth FC66c55.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8620150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Ipswich Town FC23c50.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4049…d92abacked Ipswich Town FC23c49.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Ipswich Town FC23c48.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Ipswich Town FC23c46.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6810547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Ipswich Town FC23c44.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Portsmouth FC76c44.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.564856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Portsmouth FC78c43.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.444751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Portsmouth FC77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.964472.7%32 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Portsmouth FC77c29.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8913846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Portsmouth FC74c29.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Portsmouth FC67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.571190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+49.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.