TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x965d…7773

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.72
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.72
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.52
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$806.59
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$669.24
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.64
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$377
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$333.94
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$121.8
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will "Sam" or "Altman" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$175.68
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$238.92
Will "California" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118.66
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$420.73
Will "Tariff" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150.96
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$130.15
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$60.8
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+97.8%+$329.74
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$112.86
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$1,403.76
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.63
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$465.85
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$173.36
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$422.64
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$188.65
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$277.02
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.95
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$249
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$54.6
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.52
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.16
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 70 and 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140.01
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$209.38
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$72.15
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$80.52
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.22
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$148.83
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$294.12
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,105.92
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.44
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$454.24
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.01
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$117.72
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$78.59
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$160.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$717.57
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$113.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$133.77
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$276.54
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$176.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$396.14
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.15
Will Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.05
Will Keir Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$171.6
Will Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$135.3
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76.32
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+71.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Ann Michael Maye" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$98.34
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$193.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+395%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+395%+$136.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parivision qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$424.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$197.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$121.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.