TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,567 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3a1…3529backed No72c11,127$8,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.821553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c10,396$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.5358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70060147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c2,500$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.963,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No73c2,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.0226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes29c1,473$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.92365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c1,280$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No72c1,203$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes29c1,202$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No72c1,106$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5511947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,083$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.122,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c1,050$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No75c1,021$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.412356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed No71c1,006$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.743100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Yes29c991$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x981e…d368backed No72c987$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No75c986.8$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.85950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes25c981.43$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3638729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a2…02c0backed Yes19c977$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes16c956$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a8…7efabacked No71c944$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+79.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x874a…d584backed No71c808$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c791.03$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.061,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a7…afb5backed Yes26c785$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No71c724$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f61…c03ebacked No71c702$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4744…e229backed Yes28c686$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…6e2ebacked No72c656$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.683100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29e2…6dc5backed Yes28c656$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e2…e1babacked Yes16c651$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c639.75$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked Yes29c612$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf977…aff0backed Yes29c598$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c589.42$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.121,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes27c551.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.610230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c9…af45backed Yes28c548$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes6c540$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.28238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed No71c531$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No73c520.55$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.558100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed Yes16c508$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5243…a73cbacked No71c485$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes29c479$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57ab…434bbacked No71c479$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b2…0eb2backed No74c463$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.38366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes27c444.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes28c439$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes28c419.59$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.499840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c407.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes29c405$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b4…3258backed Yes29c381$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c371$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed No71c366$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed Yes16c365$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No70c364.16$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5935145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad5…6f41backed No72c360$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes28c359$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.526640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x628e…a488backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x465c…6e53backed No71c356$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5661…ef17backed No71c346$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked No72c344$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce55…1796backed Yes28c344$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes29c343$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb6…6d5fbacked No74c322$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No72c320$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.69656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Yes29c315$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed No71c311$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes26c310$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.711636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes27c310$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.75650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaa1…eb3abacked No71c299$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425a…78cbbacked Yes29c299$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes17c286.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed No71c283$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes29c282.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes28c249.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.897339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes29c248$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Yes16c237$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes16c234$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Yes16c233$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c229.74$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.151,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No72c227$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa99…17e7backed Yes50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ac…d8c5backed Yes29c213$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes29c204$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed No71c192$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes29c192$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed No73c191.72$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes27c185.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0285…59d6backed No71c184$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be7…46eebacked Yes14c179$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes29c171.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.