TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89b2…0eb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$177.1
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$554.25
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.56
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.72
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.2
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$224.64
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.6
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.07
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.63
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.19
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$268.21
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.78
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.89
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$196.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.7
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.24
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.63
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$80.16
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.72
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.48
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$235.17
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153.87
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$103.18
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$306.72
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$301.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$521.73
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$463.54
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$222.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$216.48
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$125.5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.46
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$238.63
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.48
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$67.27
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$611.1
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$245.86
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.13
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.63
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.4
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$648.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$335.16
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$232.14
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$117.99
Will "One Battle After Another" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$54.25
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.14
Will "F1" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$128.8
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$301.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$112.23
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$437.36
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.44
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$397.37
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$231
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$208.8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+116.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$381.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+397.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+397.5%+$63.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$612.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$198.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$86.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$113.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.