Movies · resolved market
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24406a0ec82aeac00e05d9d5225acea69b52405001a5e52d67d4350d4783afdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked No | 73c | 1,848$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 24c | 1,064$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,044$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed No | 72c | 970$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 12c | 846$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Yes | 28c | 775$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 73c | 754$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 30c | 709$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Yes | 29c | 646$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 28c | 644$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed No | 72c | 638$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 45c | 630$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 69c | 598$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 71c | 594$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 22c | 586$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 35c | 577.91$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 73c | 575$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 29c | 556$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 27c | 528$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed Yes | 27c | 525$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 70c | 516$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 28c | 510$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked Yes | 27c | 488$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 71c | 473$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 28c | 460$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 27c | 459$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed No | 73c | 459$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 421$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 28c | 420$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 70c | 419$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 71c | 394$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 29c | 386$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed No | 72c | 385$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 30c | 379$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 29c | 372$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked No | 71c | 372$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 31c | 355$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 70c | 349$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 72c | 341$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked No | 71c | 338$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 28c | 334.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 74c | 322$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 28c | 318$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 32c | 316$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 73c | 295$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 71c | 293$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 20c | 279.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 27c | 278$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 70c | 276$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 78c | 266$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed No | 75c | 262$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 29c | 261$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed No | 73c | 252$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 78c | 246$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 27c | 244$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 27c | 239$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked No | 71c | 238$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 70c | 236$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 30c | 236$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 31c | 232$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 72c | 230$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 72c | 221$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 218.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 70c | 211$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Yes | 34c | 207$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 72c | 207$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked Yes | 29c | 201$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 27c | 198$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 33c | 197$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 76c | 194$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed No | 66c | 194$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 30c | 192$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 79c | 185.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 74c | 185$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 73c | 181.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 180.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 27c | 179$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed No | 72c | 179$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed Yes | 30c | 175$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed No | 71c | 172$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 71c | 164$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 30c | 164$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 43c | 161$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 29c | 158$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 30c | 156$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 27c | 156$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed Yes | 26c | 153$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 27c | 152$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 70c | 147$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed Yes | 30c | 147$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 30c | 147$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked Yes | 30c | 142$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 21c | 141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 28c | 141$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Phoenician Scheme win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.