TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccc2…271a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Movies, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+71.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.26
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.2
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.12
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,370.16
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.27
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$229.4
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$167.7
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$88.83
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$253.2
Will "Mr Nobody Against Putin" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+566.7%+$236.3
Will 'Wuthering Heights' debut week album sales be less than 75k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$126.36
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$70.72
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$203.58
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$129.2
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$85.76
Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$71.44
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+83.2%+$414.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$206.4
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$253.05
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.02
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$159.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$263.69
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$506.44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.62
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$294.84
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$142.2
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$282.15
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.87
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$105.28
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$188.19
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$252.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$301.3
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$356.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$135.73
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$253.8
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$186
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118.95
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$391.59
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$196.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48.32
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$73.5
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$116.55
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$126.36
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75.12
Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$90.09
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$164.58
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$157.12
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+270.4%+$682.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$153.9
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.16
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$514.5
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$62.67
Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.16
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$87.12
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+484.8%+$302.58
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$807.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.53
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.81
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.75
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$63.8
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.72
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$154.52
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.75
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$433.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$201.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$240.76
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$703.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$627.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$228.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$54.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$65.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$742.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.