TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefc0…4942backed Yes72c1,483$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.762035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8745…4805backed Yes14c1,377$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.782536%9 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c3…dbf7backed No42c1,187$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203f…f7a5backed Yes77c1,123$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked Yes19c1,073$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes72c1,063$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.361650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a10…e442backed No28c972$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10bc…0451backed Yes18c960$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ce…3c8ebacked No28c933$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+125.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7238…e52dbacked Yes72c875$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd22a…ac22backed Yes72c866$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6f…469fbacked Yes14c845$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc047…c0e6backed No44c790.14$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.181030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6307…0447backed Yes77c785$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.451010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes72c781$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.321735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes72c737$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes72c717$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.242025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadbd…93f9backed Yes72c669$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.681586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+108.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf100…2fcabacked No23c630$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c824backed Yes11c614$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7270…add3backed No28c608$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.762142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5372…5f61backed No28c575$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+101.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes72c549$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes5c535$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.681867%13 W · 173 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0184…23f6backed No23c517$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.092166.7%14 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+88.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82a7…afb5backed No28c509$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed No28c487$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.642263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed No28c486$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.921643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf666…8842backed Yes14c463$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x326e…c7b9backed No28c455$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.61050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc450…a5b8backed Yes72c449$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.28850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f87…3929backed No28c449$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes23c445.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4680%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes72c438$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.361764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed Yes72c436$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.921250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…44a9backed No28c436$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b72…cd8ebacked No28c415$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed No28c382$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.042070%14 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+117.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed Yes72c379$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.881040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…115ebacked No28c379$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.881741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcd…0c32backed No23c368$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.76540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked No28c348$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.561145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c19…77cdbacked No28c348$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f7…395ebacked No28c342$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.24875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf021…0da3backed Yes72c341$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No28c341$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.521717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No28c330$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1418311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b2…a321backed No46c312.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.88580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+201.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x427e…5ab4backed No28c291$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes14c285$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a8…7efabacked No28c282$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.041181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick48cpaid+88.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb28…74f4backed No23c250$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…bcf0backed Yes11c241$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes48c212.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5972935.5%259 W · 470 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ad5…6f41backed No28c201$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.721844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f72…2d55backed Yes75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Yes34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674148.8%20 W · 21 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick32cpaid+56.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1eaa…b550backed No28c183$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes8c182.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1328826.7%77 W · 211 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed No28c168$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.962142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…735dbacked No23c155$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.351643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0523…ace5backed No63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes34c139.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.29632.3%31 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes61c109.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9930127.2%82 W · 219 L+1.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26e…f5a2backed No28c104.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10767.9%6 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No18c94.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.611926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf977…1690backed No28c91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5140…a2debacked No28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+112.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No19c80$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.86030%18 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73ca…055abacked Yes33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.457426.8%154 W · 420 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…64dabacked Yes22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327536.4%100 W · 175 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c54.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd482…355dbacked No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148446.4%39 W · 45 L-10.8wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-24.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c16…4890backed Yes33c47.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes42c47.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.574619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a80…729cbacked Yes39c35.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.925813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e8…dc93backed Yes70c35.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes74c34.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1611841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed Yes67c31.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.995119.6%10 W · 41 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-38.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9519834.8%69 W · 129 L-23.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aec…1504backed Yes74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123969.2%27 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.