TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8b2…7c84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
879
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst IPO at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT13645.6%62 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.69
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$21.29
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.82
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.29
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$90.52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$45.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.72
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.03
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$59.16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$57.17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$49.43
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$32.55
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$25.24
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT11038.2%42 W · 68 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.11
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$21.12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+107%+$39.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.75
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$12.18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$25.1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$17.52
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT7833.3%26 W · 52 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$17.88
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.07
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$18.87
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$45.86
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.69
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$53.73
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$23.89
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$97.17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$117.34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+192.8%+$115.89
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+172.5%+$56.88
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6050%30 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$7.01
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+417.2%+$44.03
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.7%+$10.22
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.6%+$134.59
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+62.6%+$7.7
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$262.38
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.7%+$4.24
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.8%+$18.63
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.6%+$66.32
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.3%+$6.59
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.76
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.4%+$32
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6036.7%22 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.11
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.95
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$17.02
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$43.13
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$39.59
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$63.37
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.36
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+358%+$109.7
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.51
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will "Six Seven" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will "Minnesota" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$27.02
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.4
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.49
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+221.3%+$137.75
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.99
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.95
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$61.17
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$28.5
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$45.48
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.9
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$26.29
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$16.81
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$113.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$29.12
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+397.2%+$90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$21.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.69
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT4837.5%18 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+50.4%+$40.2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+83.9%+$18.24
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+86.1%+$14.67
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.99
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.23
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+54.7%+$19.85
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$13.31
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+48.1%+$6.5
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.56
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.32
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+67.1%+$25.56
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.74
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.08
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+88.1%+$145.26
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$47.05
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 22, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$118.71
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$22.11
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+246%+$35.55
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$11.95
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+436.5%+$172.38
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$45.98
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$26.4
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.64
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.9
Prince Andrew released by February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Prince Andrew released by February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100.29
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by at least 250 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.16
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 295 and 309 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.72
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.43
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.63
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$53.51
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.29
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Fox Corp (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$36.84
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.35
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.72
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$42.16
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.3%+$13.6
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35.47
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7.59
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$10.3
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.25
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$21.48
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.4
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+193%+$28.38
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.45
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34%+$12.75
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+131.9%+$105.44
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+139.8%+$139.93
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+74.9%+$12.54
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78.74
Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.7%+$7.42
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.3%+$12.41
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$253.15
Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.65
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+91.2%+$25.27
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+55.8%+$14.59
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.05
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52.58
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+55.3%+$14.79
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$23.43
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27.99
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+627.3%+$145.14
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$38.6
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.73
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$11.61
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.4
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+326%+$38.91
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+65.7%+$7.93
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 60% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26.3%+$4.6
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.8
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$28.2
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.1
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.84
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$39.41
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$69.5
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$11.06
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+84.5%+$13.06
Will a Sabrina Carpenter song reach #1 again this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37%+$17.24
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+114.8%+$16.04
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.33
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.4
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.38
Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Travis Scott's album 'JACKBOYS 2' have over 250k sales in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.31
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-74.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$15.85
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$27.75
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.26
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 30% on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 25% on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.29
All 20 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.37per pick43cpaid-92%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
IPO — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.87
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be greater than $9.00B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$8.85
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $7B and $8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.66
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$72.6
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$32.08
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.56
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$67.55
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+48.7%+$73.06
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$66.99
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.23
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$58.65
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.4%+$61.74
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Frax win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$24
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.36
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+113.6%+$21.28
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will the Giants trade for Jaylen Waddle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Lamar Jackson play in Week 5 for the Ravens?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+99.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+296.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+296.7%+$46.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.