Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175b9573e4d6d11120555273bcabb0ec5e157e56cb5ced72e9a592156ef76f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 39c | 1,001$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.93 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 12c | 786.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.96 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 36c | 708.02$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 45c | 657.14$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.68 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 23c | 621.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 49c | 558.54$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.57 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 9c | 550$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 460.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 16c | 455.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.46 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 71c | 438.26$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 15c | 426.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.48 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 51c | 423.09$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.41 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 6c | 388.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 355.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 311$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.68 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 11c | 307.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 10c | 283$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 21c | 263.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 53c | 239.63$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 23c | 232.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 224.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 219.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 24c | 217.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5a…c4fbbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 196.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 44c | 186.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 12c | 173.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 165.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 22c | 165.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 67c | 164.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 28c | 160.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 154.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 150.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 78c | 150$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 32c | 140.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 78c | 137.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 36c | 133.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 129.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 10c | 125$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 79c | 122.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 20c | 114.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 20c | 112.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 11c | 108.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 74c | 108.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 13c | 106.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 45c | 102.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…c839backed Yes | 57c | 102.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…84acbacked No | 79c | 100.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 36c | 99.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…563bbacked Yes | 25c | 99.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 35c | 97.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 15c | 94.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 16c | 89.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 13c | 89.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 17c | 85.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 35c | 84.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 33c | 76.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 39c | 75.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 35c | 71.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 30c | 70.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 55c | 59.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 72c | 58.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 78c | 57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed Yes | 71c | 56.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed Yes | 36c | 56.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 39c | 54.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 45c | 49.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 74c | 48.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…a499backed Yes | 79c | 47.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 72c | 47.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 36c | 45.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 43.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 76c | 42.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…619fbacked No | 39c | 41.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 54c | 37.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 53c | 35.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 44c | 34.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 44c | 34.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 77c | 33.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 57c | 30.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 78c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…c08fbacked No | 80c | 30.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 55c | 29.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…e7f5backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…e320backed Yes | 50c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 58c | 25.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.