TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x85c0…e01d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,127
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1,03224.3%251 W · 781 L+40.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,032 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$24.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$131.67
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$46.71
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.63
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$36.15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$52.34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$97.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+287.5%+$74.2
Showing 25 of 1,032 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$53.41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.63
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+546.1%+$196.42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$46.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+1,650.2%+$181.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.8
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+191.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.