World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d005bb507f642282d4295a25da4bdcdface5de24205cfd183c022fc7f23d88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 772.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 620.4$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 25c | 591.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 9c | 461$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed Yes | 22c | 446.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed Yes | 36c | 445.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 7c | 439.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 80c | 403.83$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 34c | 365.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 32c | 290$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 271.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…c40abacked Yes | 15c | 251.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 76c | 234.79$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 12c | 222.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 200.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 197$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 74c | 188.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 143.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 18c | 136.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 132.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 22c | 127$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 67c | 120.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 21c | 114.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 27c | 107.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked Yes | 29c | 107.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 29c | 104.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 102.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 37c | 97.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 15c | 91.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 67c | 84.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 75c | 84.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 30c | 83.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 77c | 81.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 33c | 78.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 36c | 77.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 72c | 77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 16c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 66c | 71.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 78c | 67.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…fcbdbacked Yes | 28c | 62.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 27c | 60.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 31c | 55.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 21c | 53.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 79c | 50.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…c693backed Yes | 30c | 49.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd24…f9d6backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 22c | 45.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 77c | 41.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…d97fbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…6233backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked Yes | 26c | 39.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 68c | 38.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…6357backed No | 76c | 37.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 72c | 37.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Yes | 30c | 34.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 62c | 31.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 75c | 25.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 72c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 58 | 75.9%44 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…8a61backed No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 79c | 17.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 67c | 15.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 80c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.