TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda07…62a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
574
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Cricket, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT24858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 248 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.49
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Hanlei Lu vs Vladimir Osminkinbacked Hanlei Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$125.98
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Xing Dao Chen vs Zhiheng Xiabacked Xing Dao Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.93
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmansbacked Tiago Boschmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+216.3%+$268.22
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$62.57
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.41
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$36.11
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.39
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$16.32
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$94.52
Todi (Doubles): Reymond/Sanchez vs Barrena/Kickerbacked Reymond/Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$27.09
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.12
ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Mukund Sasikumarbacked Pawit Sornlaksup · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.82
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.6
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$90.76
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$102.82
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.4
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.34
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+46%+$126.14
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.71
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$94.3
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$41.07
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.43
Showing 25 of 248 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT20133.3%67 W · 134 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$103.97
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$19.77
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.71
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$17.88
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+162.2%+$17.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.76
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$51.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$17.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.99
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.87
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.71
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.28
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.92
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.47
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.12
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.53
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.43
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.73
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.72
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$53.93
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$116.09
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.85
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.44
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$214.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$79.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.73
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.48
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$173.18
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.26
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$34.35
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.48
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.63
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$66.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.87
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$19.36
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+99%+$76.17
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$49.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$94.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+297.6%+$138.63
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$51.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$71.57
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$55.53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$26.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
All 22 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$43.7
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Kandy Royalsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$44.68
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallantsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$30.56
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$35.95
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$6.77
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$5.29
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$15.33
The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$8.52
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)backed Crawley Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.99
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.43
Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$101.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$49.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.