Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3b29ca4d2f741e599ee6ab84afb0476a96ea48e313952ae4aa2288b3219d4fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 51c | 6,259$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.09 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 49c | 5,617$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.33 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 49c | 1,948$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.02 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 55c | 1,803$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 1,287$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.37 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 52c | 1,063$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.94 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 615.2$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 49c | 609.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.85 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Over | 36c | 552.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 31c | 494.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 56c | 433.32$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 405.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…5e3dbacked Under | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 380.85$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 357$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 294.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…148cbacked Over | 49c | 225.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 30c | 188.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 185$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 145.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaa…73f3backed Over | 47c | 124.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 122.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Under | 48c | 122$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 59c | 116.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 52c | 110.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…2b03backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Under | 52c | 93.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 72.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…0215backed Over | 58c | 66.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 49c | 58.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 49c | 45.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 48c | 43.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 34.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 34.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…62c5backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 79c | 30.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 52c | 23.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Under | 69c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.