Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72944be466df81aec7953620c1bc3bfe5b407e14ab95cdd7ca385d15263f3631
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRIONof BNK FEARX, HANJIN BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed HANJIN BRION | 66c | 914.46$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…88b6backed HANJIN BRION | 67c | 880.27$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 616.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 599.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HANJIN BRION | 66c | 579.93$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 573.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 559.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed HANJIN BRION | 64c | 507.08$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked HANJIN BRION | 65c | 492.48$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 399.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 302.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 288.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fe08backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 228.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 221.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 211.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HANJIN BRION | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HANJIN BRION | 64c | 185.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 158.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed HANJIN BRION | 66c | 152.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BNK FEARX | 42c | 143.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX | 42c | 104.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked HANJIN BRION | 65c | 54.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 51.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed HANJIN BRION | 63c | 51.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…ca8bbacked HANJIN BRION | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked HANJIN BRION | 67c | 37.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…2d86backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 29.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked HANJIN BRION | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…797fbacked HANJIN BRION | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.