TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5217…ec29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
271
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT21154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$919.99
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$589.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.99
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.02
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.94
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$945
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.24
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$312
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$405.83
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$318.65
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$864.7
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.96
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,998.98
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.96
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$682.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$990
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$206.22
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.5
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.31
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$431.32
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$425.36
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$600
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$640
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$608
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.2
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$410
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$359.99
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.33
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$645
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+244.8%+$2,130
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$2,650.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,333.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,556
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.